Games I saw (some of):
Monday, September 21, 2026
2026-27 NCAA Football (Week 3)
Monday, September 14, 2026
2026-27 NCAA Football (Week 2)
Games I saw (some of):
(1) Ohio State 23-24 (4) Texas
Tuesday, September 8, 2026
2026-27 NCAA Football (Week 1)
Sunday, April 12, 2026
2026 NCAA (Final Four and Final)
(3) Illinois 62-71 (2) Connecticut
UConn made more shots than Illinois. Sounds rather basic but it felt to me like both teams were getting shots, getting the offense they wanted to get, UConn converted more than Illinois did and that was about it. I think UConn is the most puzzling team of recent times: they're right there every year and I generally don't understand why. I don't see anything special about UConn at all, don't understand how they did so well this season or in this tourney. If Illinois just knocks down some shots, I think they would've won and I feel like I could say that about most of UConn's opponents. I dunno, I just don't understand why they've had so much success.
(1) Michigan 91-73 (1) Arizona
I thought this one was gonna be a classic but, no, Michigan pretty much shut them down from beginning to end. Arizona had a burst about 10 minutes into the 1st half where they tied it up, but that was the end of that. Michigan ran off before haltime and buried them rather easily in the 2nd half. I was blown away by Arizona's scoring potential against Purdue, thought it would translate to Michigan, but no it did not. I'd be kinda shocked if Michigan didn't mop the floor with UConn.
(2) Connecticut 63-69 (1) Michigan
A rather unsatisfying game. Michigan was the better team but they never could extend their lead or really dominate the action, so UConn hung around even though they weren't really shooting all that well. The refs were letting them on beat on each other so the stretch run of the game was a lot of fouls, replays, clumsy play. I thought Michigan should've pounded UConn and looking back on it....they absolutely should have pounded UConn. But Michigan had their own shooting woes and the style of the refs just slowed everything down and kept giving UConn chances. The Huskies couldn't take advantage of the opportunities but it still made for a sludgy game where the better team felt bridled, instead of unleashing an all-timer of an ass-whippin'. Wolverines are your champs! They really were the best team all through the tourney, one of the best of the regular season, a well put-together collection of length and speed. I doubt this team even hit their peak this season--they could've absolutely demolished the Final but the game itself slowed them down.
Wednesday, January 7, 2026
2025-26 NCAA Football (Playoff Semifinals)
Games I saw (some of):
(10) Miami 24-14 (2) Ohio State
All season long the Buckeyes knocked down whoever was put in front of them and we genuflected to their dominance, all while secretly wondering if they were actually any good. Well, after a back-to-back throttlings by Indiana and Miami it is plainly obvious that the Buckeye offense was kinda ordinary and the defense was good but not great. It was their scheduling that was disappointing: no Oregon, no Indiana, catching Penn State and Michigan just as they were falling apart and Texas before they were ready to blossom. The Big 10 Final showed that the Buckeyes were the 2nd best (at best!) team in the B10 and Miami just placed the flowers on their grave.
As for the Hurricanes, well, I was impressed at their opening W over Notre Dame but never saw much impressive about them again. The ACC was putrid this year--and Miami still didn't make the conference final!--and their stumbles to Louisville (dude, quit throwing interceptions!) and SMU (dude, can you please stop this running game?), were embarrassingly awful--and I thought reason enough to choose Notre Dame over them for the playoff. (*) But I noticed when they got a dominant victory at Pittsburgh and their D-line just kept getting better and better. So, in contradistinction to OSU's flawless season undone by two straight thumpings, Miami's rather lackluster regular season has yielded back to back grinding W's against Texas A&M and Ohio State (on the road, no less). Miami has shown they deserve to be here.
(5) Oregon 23-0 (4) Texas Tech
The score doesn't look like it but Tech's defense was really good, they held out as long as they could against Oregon's onslaught. But, man, dude that QB....yipes....I felt sorry for the kid. Surely that's the worst game he's ever played. He wasn't able to do much of anything and the turnovers became inevitable. You can credit Oregon's D, they came to play, but Tech's high flying offense thudded hard in this match. Good regular season, but they couldn't get it done in the tourney and that's how it goes.
Both Oregon and Tech looked pretty brilliant all year long, I couldn't separate the two--but I can now! Oregon showed up and Tech didn't, Oregon made the plays and Tech didn't, Oregon was ready to move on and Tech wasn't. In the 1st round Oregon moved the ball at will on James Madison but then fell asleep on defense, which gave the coach plenty to yell about even though they got the victory; here the coach can easily point out that while Oregon is moving on, Tech faltered so badly that the Ducks still have a lot to work on. (This is working out too perfectly for the Oregon coaching staff so far)
(9) Alabama 3-38 (1) Indiana
I believed in Bama when no one else would. When they pulled their shit together, they could get impressive W's; but when it fell apart they had some puzzling losses. I kinda thought that it was there for them to rise up as an underdog, but the offense was sloppy enough that was a foolish expectation. Bama looked like they were playing in mud, Indiana clowned them at every facet of the game, the Tide were never in this game.
Indiana has just been grinding people into dirt all year long. Alabama is simply next on the list. Frankly the Hoosiers got going a little late in this game, with a coupla breaks this could've been way more lopsided.
(6) Mississippi 39-34 (3) Georgia
The fun one! Back and forth action, two very familiar opponents, both teams with the chance to pull it all together and go on a run (am I ready to say that the winner of this game will win it all?). For the most part UGA felt like the better team but they could never get any separation and in the 4th quarter Ole Miss made the plays and UGA did not. Good but shaky season for the Bulldogs, a weird--and getting weirder--season for the Rebels.
Semifinals:
Fiesta Bowl: (10) Miami @ (6) Mississippi (+3.5, 52.5)
Miami's defense is cooking but I'm still not in on their offense. Against the sluggish Buckeyes they got a pick-6, a garbage time TD and a coupla FG's....I don't think that's gonna get them past Ole Miss. Especially since Ole Miss's pass rush is playing pretty good right now, too. As for the Rebels, even without their guru (**), that offense still moves with impunity and while Miami's pass rush will be one of the better ones they've faced this season, I think they can outscore the Hurricanes. I like Ole Miss 24-14 (Missisippi and the under).
Peach Bowl: (5) Oregon @ (1) Indiana (-3.5, 47.5)
Ahhhhh, this'll be a good one. Indiana's win at Oregon was arguably the best W of the entire season (Bama at Georgia was up there, too) and certainly the most eye-opening--THIS was the moment that I saw with certainty that the Hoosiers were for real. Going to Oregon and getting a hard fought L was the test and they blew right past that! Indiana dominated the Ducks on their home field and the only second guess on it now is that the Ducks played conservative thinking they could get by with a B- game plan. The Hoosiers proved that that wasn't good enough. Oregon has been a good squad all season long and they're probably playing their best ball right now--and, again, they've had back-to-back W's now that looked pretty easy but still gave the coaches plenty to bitch about--and they've got no reason to hold anything back this time. Oregon will be bringing their best and that will surely be the best that Indiana has seen all season long. But the Hoosiers are fuckin' money, man. They've taken all comers so far (including these Ducks) and after their cold-blooded shellacking of Ohio State and Alabama, I don't think they'll be afraid of Oregon. If anyone could get Indiana it is probably Oregon....but I don't think Indiana is gonna get got! (Am I ready to say that the winner of this game will win it all?) I'll take Indiana 27-24 (Oregon and the over).
(*) Yeah, yeah, "head to head has to matter!" And the two bad losses and only one good W all season long....doesn't that have to matter, too?
(**) The buzz is that Lane Kiffin might be interested in the Venezuela presidency now that its open. But with things getting hot in Kiev, I think there's a good chance Zelensky enters the transfer portal.
Wednesday, December 31, 2025
2025-26 NCAA Football (Playoff 2nd Round)
Games I saw (some of):
(9) Alabama 34-24 (8) Oklahoma
Fun game! OU jumped out to a quick 17-0 lead, Bama fans were chain smoking and trying to sell their coach to Michigan. Then, a Xmas miracle: Bama got rolling and ripped right past the Sooners, who just couldn't move the ball after their opening burst. Yeah, I was never in on OU and strangely bullish on Bama, so I was right all along (shweet!).
(10) Miami 10-3 (7) Texas A&M
Wow, a sludgefest. Miami finally broke through late in the 4th quarter and, well, that's pretty much all it took. The pass rushes had all the glory in this match. A&M did everything they could do...except beat Texas and Miami, so a hell of a season suddenly looks wildly overrated. I was impressed by Miami's opening night win over Notre Dame...and then was never impressed by them again all season long. Are they finally getting rolling? Well, the defense looks good, but the offense still isn't blowing me away.
Didn't catch:
(11) Tulane 10-41 (6) Mississippi
An almost perfect replay of the regular season match between these two. (Why was Tulane in this tournament?)
(12) James Madison 34-51 (5) Oregon
I buy the notion that this was the perfect W for Oregon: the win was secured, the offense looked dominant but the lack of intensity on the defensive side will give the coaches plenty to complain about. The Ducks are in their spartan phase now and the next opponent better beware.
2nd Round:
Cotton Bowl: (10) Miami @ (2) Ohio State (-7.5, o/u 40.5)
Miami started the season strong, then slogged their way to a lucky invitation to the tourney; Ohio State stomped everyone they played until their last game against their first real foe (Indiana) and got manhandled. Miami did very little to live up to their opening night, OSU won so easily for so long that they may have forgotten what real football is actually like. Eh....I'll take the Buckeyes to move the ball and stymy the Hurricanes (I just don't see how Miami scores). Ohio State 28-10 (Buckeyes, under)
Orange Bowl: (5) Oregon @ (4) Texas Tech (+2.5, 51.5)
I had Oregon and Texas Tech (and Mississippi) in the same tier all season long: brilliant offense, pretty good defense, definitely better than the dregs but not sure if they have the depth to hang with the big dogs. One of these teams will move on, at least one won't--almost a shame when potential upstarts have to face each other. Tech's one loss was at Arizona State (so-so conference opponent on the road), while Oregon's only loss was at home to Indiana (top drawer conference at home). Both teams had nice wins but nothing really eye-popping, so which one is better? I have no idea, these teams seem identical to me. The ideal match to watch is two killer offenses running it up on each other--though often times that's when the so-so defenses really show up. But I think we will get a shoot out and since Tech is getting points, I'll take the dog in a close one. Oregon 35-34 (Tech and the over)
Rose Bowl: (9) Alabama @ (1) Indiana (-7, 47.5)
Indiana is probably the most puzzling team I've ever seen: Indiana has never been good at football and watching their casual brilliance all year long made my head swim. They won at Oregon! They kept to their game plan and pulled out a strong W at Penn State! They dominated the Buckeyes for 60 solid minutes! I've never seen Indiana do any of this stuff before and in college football you tend to see the good teams coming. Bama has spent most of the 21st century kicking the shit out of all comers but suddenly seem mortal. Upstart versus fading giant. I dunno. I've been more into Alabama than most this season, some say Bama didn't deserve to be here, I say I'm not surprised to find them here. Bama has played big games, tough teams, pressing situations, they've been doing all that for a coupla decades now, Indiana has been doing it for a coupla months. But, I gotta go Hoosiers, that O-line is Bama-licious, the QB is for real, the WR's make plays, the defense is really good and even though Bama knows they ought to be better, I'm not sure they actually are. I've got to go Indiana. Indiana 24-16 (Indiana, under)
Sugar Bowl: (6) Mississippi @ (3) Georgia (-6, 55.5)
Georgia has been good, not great, this year, but they look like they've turned the corner and might go on a domination spree. Ole Miss has a high flying offense (and no head coach) and won't be afraid of conference foe UGA. This is probably Ole Miss's best chance to beat UGA since before I was born. I'm gonna do it: this is my upset pick. I think Ole Miss can score and even build a lead and I think they can hang on as UGA comes storming back. (This also could turn into a defensive sludgefest game, to, but I'd still take Ole Miss to cover) Mississippi 27-21 (Mississippi, under)
Friday, December 19, 2025
2025-26 NCAA Football (Playoff 1st round)
(9) Alabama @ (8) Oklahoma (+1.5; O/U 40.5)
Is Bama gonna bounce back from their abysmal showing in the SEC final? Is Bama gonna bounce back from their abysmal showing against Oklahoma just a few weeks ago? I think they will. I think Bama is better, I think Oklahoma got lucky against Bama earlier and I think Bama will grasp this opportunity to advance. I'll take Bama and the under.
(10) Miami @ (7) Texas A&M (-3.5; 51.5)
This is a good match. A&M has been good all year long, bad misstep at Texas but otherwise solid on both sides of the ball; Miami had two inexplicably bad L's (worse than Notre Dame's 2 L's, incidentally) but otherwise looked like a formidable side. This match could go either way, I have no idea what to expect. But I will take the dog to keep it close. Miami and the under.
(11) Tulane @ (6) Mississippi (-17.5; 56.5)
Hey, Tulane, congrats on being invited to bask in the ACC's incompetence! Don't think this is gonna last long, though, I think Ole Miss is gonna score and score and score. Enjoy it while it lasts, Green Wave. I'll take Ole Miss and the over.
(12) James Madison @ (5) Oregon (-21.5; 50.5)
James Madison hasn't had this much buzz since the War of 1812, long before Oregon was a state. This, too, won't last long. Oregon is gonna run JMU out of the stadium. I got Oregon and the over.
Monday, December 1, 2025
2025 NCAA Football (Week 14)
Thursday, October 2, 2025
2025-26 NCAA Football (Week 5)
Games I saw (some of):
(21) Southern Cal 32-34 (23) Illinois
Fun game! Two evenly matched teams, Southern Cal may well be the better squad, but Illinois expertly worked the clock to get the final possession and that's what it took. Illinois has already had their staggering defeat and since I don't see them beating Ohio State or Penn State, I reckon their path to the tournament is over, but they're still gonna be a tough out; Southern Cal, on the other hand, is still in play and if they can build, they might still turn into something.
(1) Ohio State 24-6 Washington
The Huskies played hard but they just couldn't hang with the Buckeyes. After halftime, Ohio State dialed up enough offense to convincingly put away UW, but UW's defense was pretty great in the 1st half. Just another ho-hum W for the Buckeyes, but a strong showing for the Huskies, wonder if they can hang around in the Big 10.
(4) Louisiana State 19-24 (13) Mississippi
Really impressed with Ole Miss's D-line. LSU's early season victory over Clemson seemed so impressive at the time, but...Clemson...so now I'm not so sure. I thought they would handle the Rebels, but it was the other way around. Ole Miss controlled the whole game through their pass rush and run stopping ability. I'm still not that in on Ole Miss, but this was a good W for them. The SEC is clearly up for grabs this year.
(6) Oregon 30-24 (2OT) (3) Penn State
Fun game! Why doesn't Penn State play their 4th quarter offense for the whole game? Both teams plodded along, I thought Oregon was generally the better side throughout, but once they took a 2 TD lead in the 4th quarter, Penn State came storming back....so why do they always wait til the last minute to get their offense going? I hate to pile on Penn State, I think they've really built something special there, but sometimes they seem doomed by their own conservativeness. Oregon is a good squad, can't wait to see them up against the Buckeyes.
Top 25
Handled their business
(1) Ohio State, (6) Oregon, (9) Texas A&M, (11) Indiana, (13) Mississippi, (14) Iowa State, (15) Tennessee, (17) Alabama, (18) Vanderbilt, (20) Missouri, (22) Notre Dame, (23) Illinois, (25) Brigham Young
Won but did not impress
(16) Georgia Tech (I dunno, normally I'm sympathetic to conference W's on the road, but I want to see Tech dominate a lesser opponent and Wake Forest probably should've won; not a good look)
Bad beat
(4) Louisiana State (disappointing L but Ole Miss's defense is legit, they were the better team)
(21) Southern Cal (good showing on the road in conference, I think they're probably better than Illinois but the Illini did what they needed to do; tough L for the Trojans)
Not so good
(3) Penn State (if you're gonna win a championship, you've got to beat Oregon at home, I know it ain't easy but it's that simple)
(8) Florida State (gotta beat UVA on the road, I'm sorry but them's the rules)
(24) Texas Christian (I thought they had Arizona State beat but...they did not)
Next week's intriguing matches
(16) Vanderbilt @ (10) Alabama (Last year Vandy routed Bama, this year Vandy is ranked--what the hell is going on? When will this madness stop?!?!?)
(3) Miami @ (18) Florida State (I think Miami is going to pummel FSU but maybe not; the Seminoles probably didn't deserve to drop so much for an OT loss at UVA, perhaps that will give them the spark they need)
Mississippi State @ (6) Texas A&M (A&M might be for real or they might not, I have no idea; but the SEC is a gauntlet and A&M must beware of traps; we'll see if they're up for this one)
Monday, September 8, 2025
2025-26 NCAA Football (Week 2)
Games I saw (some of):
(15) Michigan 13-24 (18) Oklahoma
I was impressed with OU, they moved the ball well, had a stout run defense and just generally seemed in control and the better team throughout. I'm curious to see how they hold up in the SEC, coming off a season where they mostly doormatted their way through the year (thought they did stick Alabama in the eye), I didn't have high hopes but now I kinda do. Michigan was okay, I didn't get a feel for what they might be good at, but they still have the whole season ahead of them. Good W for Oklahoma, a non-killer L for Michigan.
(20) Mississippi 30-23 Kentucky
Just kept waiting for Ole Miss to put the Cats away but they just never did. Mind you, I never thought UK was gonna win (I didn't last year either), but the Cats hung around even though their attack is pretty awful. I dunno, man, Ole Miss is supposed to be good but I don't see anything that really makes me think they're gonna do something special in the SEC this year. And as for Kentucky, well, basketball season is right around the corner.
Baylor 48-45 (2OT) (17) Southern Methodist
Fun game! Back and forth throughout, every time I would tell myself Baylor was the better team, SMU would make a play and take the momentum right back. I think Baylor is actually good and I think SMU is overrated, but still time for them to get hot this season, I don't want to write SMU off, it could just be that Baylor is a little bit better. I'm becoming a fan of Baylor's QB.
Top 25
Handled this business
(1) Ohio State, (2) Penn State, (3) Louisiana State, (4) Georgia, (5) Miami, (6) Oregon, (7) Texas, (10) South Carolina, (11) Illinois, (14) Florida State, (16) Iowa State, (18) Oklahoma, (19) Texas A&M, (20) Mississippi, (21) Alabama, (22) Tennessee, (23) Indiana, (24) Texas Tech, (25) Utah
Won but did not impress
(8) Clemson. After the pants-ing they took from LSU last week, I thought they'd come ready to put it in on Troy. Yes, they were weather delays and the game was disjointed, but, man, it took the Tigers a while to get going after a rocky 1st half. Are we sure that QB Klubnick actually has it? Are we sure Clemson is as good as their pre-season top 5 ranking?
Bad beat
(15) Michigan. I wasn't overly impressed with Michigan but I was impressed with Oklahoma, so I'm willing to chalk this up to the Wolverines getting punked at the home of a top quality opponent. Still time for Michigan to have a great season.
(17) Southern Methodist. Yeah, when a ranked team loses to an unranked conference foe at home, that probably shouldn't be thought of as a bad beat, but I think Baylor is underrated and I think SMU was probably overrated. After this game, we can reorder that conference and there's still time for SMU to get some wins (their offense can move the ball).
Not so good
(12) Arizona State. Yeah, they fell down 17-0 at Mississippi State, rallied to take the 20-17 lead, and then lost late. Perhaps this was a bad beat, but ASU was in the playoff last year and Mississippi State hasn't had a notable season in a while now, I was expecting more from the Sun Devils. That said, losing on the road in the SEC is hardly a black eye, but we all thought they would win, then we thought they wouldn't, then we thought they would and then they didn't. That's a rollercoaster of disappointment.
(13) Florida. Figured the Gators would be going in the "won but did not impress" bucket, but they forgot to win. I'm not surprised that South Florida gave the Gators a game--I thought they would!--but I also thought that would inspire the Gators to step up, make plays and secure a hard-earned W. Nope.
Next week's intriguing matches:
Wisconsin @ (19) Alabama (I dunno, this one could be kinda fun)
(6) Georgia @ (15) Tennessee (game o' the week)
(18) South Florida @ (5) Miami (some hot CW action! South Florida has two ranked wins in a row to start the season, are the Hurricanes gonna handle their business or are they gonna get punked?)
Arkansas @ (17) Mississippi (wouldn't be shocked if the Razorbacks give Ole Miss a game)
Florida @ (3) Louisiana State (I thought Florida would respect South Florida, but I am sure that LSU will respect Florida; might be a blow out but it should be intense)
(16) Texas A&M @ (8) Notre Dame (fun game last year, should be a fun one this year, too)
Wednesday, September 3, 2025
2025-26 NCAA Football (Week 1)
Games I saw (some of):
(1) Texas 7-14 (3) Ohio State
Sludgefest of a game, thought both defenses were really strong. The buzz about this game was the uninspiring debut of QB Arch Manning, the pre-season fave for Heisman (why?), and, well, he wasn't particularly good. That said, the Buckeye offense wasn't vastly better than the Longhorns. The Buckeyes had two good drives and scored on both; the Longhorns had three good drives and came up short inside the 10 yard line on two of them (you could argue both of those drives were really better than the one they scored on). The Buckeyes were the better team on both sides, but the Longhorns were hardly humiliated, so some of that chatter is wildly overblown. I think both of these teams are really good, I suspect both will be in the playoff and really the home field advantage was probably the real difference.
(9) Louisiana State 17-10 (4) Clemson
Always important to remember when two college heavyweights get together, often the 2nd half is totally different from the 1st. The 1st half had more offense than the Longhorn-Buckeye match but not much as both teams moved the ball a little bit but for the most part stalled. Clemson had one nice drive before the half and were up 10-3. After that, I thought LSU kinda dominated the rest of the game. Clemson didn't get blown out but they were clearly not as good as LSU, who struck me as maybe the revelation of the opening week: they've got a for-real QB, they can move the ball and their D is gonna be stingy. Not ready to give up on Clemson, I suspect they'll hang around all year (thought Florida State and Miami look like stiffer competition than may have been anticipated).
(8) Alabama 17-31 Florida State
This was an eye-opener. Alabama was primed for a real bounce back season--and that could still happen--whereas the Seminoles were so bad last year (so bad!) that I was already ready to write them off. Record scratch! The Seminoles looked damn good! Their offense is scary, that pass rush is for real and whatever ailed them last year seems to be in the rearview. They took it to the Tide from beginning to end and were the better team on both sides. Now Alabama was starting a rookie QB, had some injuries and were on the road, so I'm not ready to write off the Tide just yet but...man, their schedule is rugged and if they don't get the O-line on track, then their season could go sideways pronto. But the Seminoles were the revelation, they look they're back from whatever hole they fell into last year.
(6) Notre Dame 24-27 (10) Miami
I was impressed with the Hurricanes (though maybe not with their too-conservative coach). I was skeptical of QB Carson Beck, who just never did it for me in his time at UGA and seemed to be shooting his mouth off in embarrassing ways all summer. But, he looked good out there in a Hurricane uni, guess the change of scenery is doing him well. This was a good matchup, felt like Notre Dame was the better team early on, but the Hurricanes definitely took over the game after half time, almost low-keyed the game away, but managed to hold on to the W. Don't want to diss the Irish, though, I felt like they weren't playing their best football, feels like this team is going to be better than this for the rest of the season, so we;ll see if they can maintain the top 10-ness (I think they will).
Top 25
Handled their business
(2) Penn State, (3) Ohio State, (5) Georgia, (7) Oregon, (9) Louisiana State, (10) Miami, (11) Arizona State, (12) Illinois, (13) South Carolina, (14) Michigan, (15) Florida, (16) Southern Methodist, (18) Oklahoma, (19) Texas A&M, (21) Mississippi, (22) Iowa State (twice), (23) Texas Tech, (24) Tennessee
Won but did not impress
(17) Kansas State (week 1). I dunno, man, could be that North Dakota is actually pretty good, but if K State is gonna hang in the top 20, they need to take care of their cream puffs at home, and they struggled hard to put this team away. We'll see: this might be the real wake up call after getting ground down in Ireland the week before.
(20) Indiana. Didn't exactly dominate Old Dominion at home, I really don't think that's too much to ask of a team that made the playoff last year and fancies themselves a gunslinging sorta offense.
Bad beat
(1) Texas. Unimpressed with the Longhorns? How about you go to Ohio State and win a game, show me how its done. Despite the chirping, UT handled themselves well on the road to open the season and I fully expect they will hang around the top 10 all year long.
(4) Clemson. I think LSU is really good, something we couldn't have known two weeks ago. I suspect Clemson will be around at the end of the year and this L likely won't be a killer for them.
(17) Kansas State (week 0). (Two weeks in and they've got a Bad Beat and a Did Not Impress, the Wildcats are not off to a great start) Going to Ireland and playing an unknown foe can't be easy, so I'm willing to look the other way, but following that L with a scuffling save at home to a D2 squad is not filling me with confidence.
Not so good
(8) Alabama. I think Florida State is good and this L won't be a killer for the Tide this year, but, man, they really could've used that win. If they can up their QB play, they can still be a solid team, this season isn't over for the Tide, but, they need to be flawless from here (and that's a tough ask for anyone).
(25) Boise State. Didn't see their shellacking at South Florida, but a friend told me the game was actually a lot closer than the 34-7 score suggests. Oooooooooo-kay.
Next week's intriguing matches
Iowa @ (16) Iowa State (they got a big W in Ireland but can the Cyclones win in Iowa?)
Baylor @ (17) Southern Methodist (I thought Baylor handled themselves okay against Auburn, think they're gonna give the Mustangs a game this week)
Oklahoma State @ (6) Oregon (the Cowboys haven't been all the great lately but they're not a cream puff, curious to see if the Ducks can put them away early)
(15) Michigan @ (18) Oklahoma (here we go: game of the week; I have no idea what to expect from either team, both were pretty soft last year, let's see if either of them are ready to walk it)
Thursday, April 10, 2025
2025 NCAA Final
Sweet Sixteen
Maryland 71-87 Florida
Not a shock. Maryland had some talent but I never thought they were a particularly cohesive crew.
Arizona 93-100 Duke
Duke shot well, surprised the score was this close actually.
Brigham Young 88-113 Alabama
I thought BYU had good upset potential in this game, but, man, Alabama shot the lights out early on and just kept the scoring too furious for BYU to keep up. If Alabama had played like this throughout, they would've won it all.
Arkansas 83-85 (OT) Texas Tech
I didn't see this game but just watching the score tick by throughout, it feels like Arkansas worked pretty hard to lose this game. It even felt like they were gonna come back in OT and managed to gack it up anyway. Too bad, I really thought Arkansas had the array of talent needed to pull off some shockers.
Michigan 65-78 Auburn
Michigan's offense was just too sludge-y to hang with Auburn.
Purdue 60-62 Houston
Purdue was the veteran squad, the defending runner-up, that everyone thought had upset potential. Houston is typically not an offenseive dynamo, indeed their strengths are similar to Purdue. I guess that's why this game went so deep. But Cougars got the W.
Mississippi 70-73 Michigan State
Ole Miss was looking good early on, but they just couldn't sustain their offense and the Spartans slowly but surely took the lead and made it stand up.
Kentucky 65-78 Tennessee
UK was out of this game early, just couldn't get any offense going at all. The Vols were nice, certainly better, but the Cats had plenty of chances to get back in and just couldn't get buckets to hang. I was struck that all the curls, picks and movement that they employed so effectively against Illinois were not used here. Why not? Oh well. The Vols came to play and they played some rugged defense early on and established a clear lead early that they were able to ride out.
Elite Eight
Texas Tech 79-84 Florida
Tech hung tough, put it on Florida but the Gators got buckets late and Walter Clayton was the hero. Good game, Tech was the better team for the most part but the Gators found another gear late and stole it.
Alabama 65-85 Duke
Wow! I thought Alabama was one of the better teams this season and I thought they'd be a serious roadblock for Duke, but, man, Duke just pummeled them. Everyone was hitting shots and once the run began, the Tide got buried pronto and Duke cruised to the end. This was a towering performance by Duke--this is the moment where I just assumed Duke would win it all.
Tennessee 50-69 Houston
Not surprised by the result, I figured Houston would get past whoever they faced here, but they suffocated the Vols early and this game was long over by halftime. The Vols were good this year, perhaps a little overhyped, and while I didn't think they'd win, I didn't figure they'd get stomped in this manner. A dominant performance by the Cougars.
Michigan State 64-70 Auburn
The Spartans put up a game effort but Auburn was better throughout and finished strong. Michigan State kept it close but I really felt like this game wanted to be a blowout.
Final Four (all four #1 seeds for the first time since 2008; hardly any stunning upsets this year but it left the best of the best teams facing off at the end--turns out those are the best tourneys!)
Florida 79-73 Auburn
Auburn looked like the better team in the 1st half and built up a 12-point lead early in the 2nd half and it kinda felt like it was over. Then....Auburn did absolutely nothing from that point on and Florida was able to blast right through them. I thought Auburn was the single best team all season long (apologies to Duke, Houston and Florida) and the first 25 minutes or so of this game bore that out; but, then the scoring just completely stopped, Johni Broom never showed up, the hustle plays weren't effective any more and they spun their wheels badly down the stretch. Florida had been overcoming deficits all through the tourney, winning games late, so not a shock to see the Gators getting it done. But the Auburn collapse was so total, so complete that it made me wonder what I saw in them all year long.
Houston 70-67 Duke
All year long Houston's MO was a team that just grinds opponents down with intense D, superior rebounding and a never-quit attitude. Duke had a nice lead at halftime and pretty much dominated the game for about 30 minutes. Then the Dukies went cold as ice and Houston just kept making plays. The final two minutes were a slow motion horror show for Duke fans as Houston just kept getting bucket after bucket, big steals, all the rebounds, a few lucky calls (*), and when the clock ran out, Houston had the lead. One of the most mystifying conclusions I've ever seen--but, then again, when Kentucky beat Duke early in the season, I remember being similarly shocked, since it never occurred to me that Duke was gonna lose. Duke was arguably the best team all year long but the ACC was so soft this year and it is worth noting that 2 of their losses (Kentucky, Kansas) were the high profile games that they just couldn't finish, so....maybe this fate was in the cards all along for the Blue Devils.
Final
Florida 65-63 Houston
The Gators were able to do to the Cougars what Houston had just done to Duke. Well, sorta: whereas Duke snoozed through the last 10 minutes of the game thinking that their lead was good enough, here the Cougars just ran out of gas late and couldn't get buckets. Duke kinda stopped playing but Houston was just ineffective. Houston looked like the better team for most the game and when they hit an 8-point lead early in the 2nd half it felt like too much for the Gators to overcome--especially considering how little Walter Clayton had done up to that point. But Clayton got hot enough, Houston scuffled and the Gators made the plays down the stretch to steal it late--giving Houston a taste of their own medicine. Great W for the Gators, tough L for the Cougars, but the Cougars will be back next season, whereas I'm not sure about any of the rest of the Elite Eight.
(*) Some will cite the over the back foul on Cooper Flagg in the final minute, but go back at look at the play. Houston got the rebound and had the lead with no shot clock remaining, thus a foul was actually the right move at that moment anyway. You may not have liked the call but it was cerainly not in and of itself a killer mistake or controversy.
Tuesday, March 25, 2025
2025 NCAA Tournament (Sweet 16)
East
(6) BYU - (2) Alabama
(4) Arizona - (1) Duke
Duke came in as the #1 team in the land with the #1 NBA prospect (Cooper Flagg) and looked poised to do some damage. But they're not invincible, when the chips are down they rely a little too much on Flagg and the ACC was truly horrendous this year, so as good as they are, Duke is no guarantee to take it all. I didn't much care for Arizona this season, but they've got some veterans who should keep them in the game. Duke breezed through the last two rounds by building big leads and suffocating their opponents. If Arizona can keep pace with them early, they can hang with them late. But I think Duke is the better team and should advance.
BYU was one of my darlings coming in, I just like the way they play and they're an unassuming batch of fellows, so when they get hot from the field or get their pressing defense going, I think they drive teams in shell shock. I like Alabama, I thought one of the best squads all season long. But outside of Ole Miss (still alive, by the way), they haven't played anyone quite like BYU. Alabama is the better team and should navigate this minefield, but I think BYU has a great shot at an upset here.
Can BYU then go on to beat Duke? Again, if they can keep pace on the scoreboard, then yeah they absolutely can. Gotta go with Duke out of this bracket (but BYU is tantalizing).
West
(4) Maryland - (1) Florida
(10) Arkansas - (3) Texas Tech
Florida is on a killer streak right now but I never really bought into them this season, was puzzled that so many thought of the Gators as the fave. The fact that they struggled mightily against a feisty but overmatched UConn side confirmed my thoughts that Florida is bit on the overhyped side. Maryland has had a nice season and seems to be most dangerous (and paradoxically most in danger) at the buzzer. If Florida comes out shooting well, they may roll right over the Terps, but if not, Maryland can absolutely steal this game.
Arkansas! Not a gimmick, they are for real. Forget about their disappointing SEC play this year, this team is deep, loaded with veterans and prospects and their two-headed monster (Boogie Fland, DJ Wagner) give them plenty of attack. Make no mistake: Arkansas is the best of the four remaining teams in this bracket and playing their best basketball of the season.
South
(6) Mississippi - (2) Michigan State
(5) Michigan - (1) Auburn
Michigan State is nice but they flounder around instead of just finishing teams off and Ole Miss might be just the pesky foe they fear most. I do think the Spartans are better but will the play better on this night? Not sure.
I think Auburn is the best team in the country. I think Michigan has trouble scoring in their half court set. I think this one is all Auburn.
And I'll take Auburn to finish the other side, too.
Midwest
(3) Kentucky - (2) Tennessee
(4) Purdue - (1) Houston
Kentucky has already beaten the Vols twice this season and history shows that typically the 2-time winner wins the 3rd match, as well. The Vols are nice but they get a little hyper against the Wildcats, if they can shoot well and keep their pacing, they probably are the better team. But I'll go ahead and take the Wildcats to keep moving on. They're playing their best basketball right now and while this is a ragtag kinda squad, they've been strong against UT for a while now.
Houston is the one flying under the radar. All they do is win. I think they'll dispatch Purdue without much trouble and I think they'll grind down whichever SEC opponent they get on the other side.
Informal ranking of the remaining teams:
1-4 - Auburn, Houston, Duke, Arkansas
5-8 - Alabama, BYU, Kentucky, Tennessee,
9-12 - Florida, Michigan State, Mississippi, Maryland
13-16 - Texas Tech, Michigan, Arizona, Purdue
Tuesday, March 11, 2025
2024-25 NCAA Football (The Bowls)
The playoff:
1st Round
Indiana 17-27 Notre Dame (It took Indiana forever to get any offense going. Notre Dame cruised)
SMU 10-38 Penn State (SMU, as in the ACC final against Clemson, did absolutely nothing in the 1st half and were ground up quick)
Clemson 24-38 Texas (Clemson put up a good fight but just didn't have enough to beat Texas)
Tennessee 17-42 Ohio State (Yeah, the score is accurate, this was a pummeling)
Quarterfinals
Penn State 31-14 Boise State (Like SMU, Boise State just couldn't move the ball on the Nittany Lion D)
Texas 39-31 (OT) Arizona State (Crazy game! Felt lik Texas had the game wrapped up early, but the Longhorns kinda sucked all through the 4th quarter, ASU got hot, made plays and tied the game up--and it felt like they were going to steal it, but the Longhorns came to their senses, made some plays of their own and moved on)
Ohio State 41-21 Oregon (A straight-up Buckeye thrashing; the score was 31-0 almost instantly and the game felt over early; Oregon had a good drive before the half and again after halftime, but that was pretty much it)
Notre Dame 23-10 Georgia (Notre Dame forced a fumble right before halftime deep in UGA territory and were able to convert a TD before the half; then the ran back the 2nd half kickoff for a TD and that 14 point burst was the difference in the otherwise even contest)
Semifinals
Notre Dame 27-24 Penn State (Felt bad for the Penn State QB, who threw a late pick to set up the winning FG, tough to go out like that in what was otherwise an even contest)
Ohio State 28-14 Texas (OSU induced a late scoop-and-score just as the Longhorns were about to tie the game up; so on the one hand the game was much tighter than the score suggests and yet....I never thought Texas was gonna win, so....I dunno...about right, I guess)
Championship
Ohio State 34-23 Notre Dame (Notre Dame scored a TD on their opening drive but the QB endured some serious abuse to make it happen, so even though the Irish got off to a good start, you knew they were gonna have trouble keeping it up. And then the Irish defense didn't show up at all and it was 31-7 at the half. OSU's attack faltered in the 2nd half and Notre Dame had some nice moments, but it wasn't enough and the Buckeyes comfortably cruised to the title)
Some are saying that what the Buckeyes went through to win was unprecedented but I would point back to the run the Buckeyes had in 2015: destroyed Wisconsin in the Big 10 final (with a 2nd string QB), handily beat mighty Alabama (with a 3rd string QB!), and smooshed Oregon like a bug in the championship. I thought that was an even more amazing run because I had long considered the Buckeyes out of it before that improbable run. This time, I thought the Buckeyes were the 2nd best team and were able to knock out Oregon (the best team) early on, so as impressive as this run was, it wasn't shocking at all--the way 2015 was. Congrats to the Buckeyes, another great run from one of the all time great programs.
The other bowls (*):
Ones I got right: 21
South Alabama 30-23 Western Michigan
Memphis 42-37 West Virginia
Western Kentucky 17-27 James Madison
Cal 13-24 UNLV
Ohio 30-27 Jacksonville State
Tulane 8-33 Florida
Coastal Carolina 15-44 UT-San Antonio
Northern Illinois 28-20 Fresno State
South Florida 41-39 San Jose State
Rutgers 41-44 Kansas State
Oklahoma 20-21 Navy
Texas Tech 26-39 Arkansas
Syracuse 52-35 Washington State
East Carolina 26-21 North Carolina State
Brigham Young 36-14 Colorado
Louisiana Tech 6-27Army
Iowa 24-27 Missouri
Louisville 35-34 Washington
Baylor 31-44 Louisiana State
Duke 20-52 Mississippi
North Texas 28-30 Texas State
Ones I got wrong: 14
Georgia Southern 26-31 Sam Houston
Pittsburgh 46-48 Toledo
Arkansas State 38-31 Bowling Green
Georgia Tech 27-35 Vanderbilt
Southern California 35-31 Texas A&M
Connecticut 27-14 North Carolina
Boston College 15-20 Nebraska
Louisiana 3-34 Texas Christian
Iowa State 42-41 Miami
Miami (OH) 43-17 Colorado State
Alabama 13-19 Michigan
South Carolina 17-21 Illinois
Minnesota 24-10 Virginia Tech
Buffalo 26-7 Liberty
(*) I just pick winners, no spreads.
Monday, December 9, 2024
2024-25 NCAA Football (Week 15)
Monday, November 25, 2024
2024-25 NCAA Football (Week 13)
Saturday, November 23, 2024
2024-25 NCAA Football (Week 12)
Games I saw (some of):
Utah 24-49 (17) Colorado
Thought Utah might put up a good fight after an embarrassing collapse to BYU the week before, but not so much. Colorado moved the ball well, played stout defense and just all round looked better than I thought they would. Utah is having a disappointing season, Colorado is getting hot at the right time (are they still in on the playoff?)
(22) Louisiana State 16-27 Florida
LSU has been weird all season and though Florida is not particularly strong this year, somehow I knew the Gators were gonna handle the Tigers and they did. LSU's QB is maddening: when he's not throwing the ball away for no reason, he's actually pretty good. As for Florida, they're just playing for the pride at this point.
(7) Tennessee 17-31 (12) Georgia
I thought UGA would control this match and they did. UGA still has a superior defense and good skill talent, but they're not as cohesive as recent years (and their QB kinda stinks), but I still have them as a top 4 squad, I still think they can hang with just about anybody. Tennessee is nice and when their offense is rolling, they can really pile up points; that said, when they stall, they go all the way to zero (as Newton would say, "an object at rest"), so it was a matter of whether a tough home match against a conference for would get their juices flowing and, well, not enough. UT is still on the edge of my top 12, kinda just depends on how many SEC teams you wanna invite.
Top 25
Handled their business
(2) Ohio State, (3) Texas, (4) Penn State, (8) Notre Dame, (10) Alabama, (12) Georgia, (13) Boise State, (14) Southern Methodist, (15) Texas A&M, (17) Colorado, (20) Clemson, (21) South Carolina, (25) Tulane
Won but did not impress
(1) Oregon. Really had to scramble at Wisconsin, not inspiring, but a conference W on the road ain't bad, I guess.
Bad beat
(7) Tennessee. If UT was really good, they would've handled UGA at home, but they didn't and....no one is shocked.
(23) Missouri. Getting stomped at Alabama is not normally nothing to be too embarrassed about, but the Tide is as gettable as they've been in a while and Missouri has spent time in the top 10, so I suppose the Tigers thought this was gonna go a different way but....I didn't. Did you?
Not so good
(6) Brigham Young. Woooooowwww! BYU losing at Kansas on some fluke plays in the 4th quarter (holy shit, I don't remember the last time I saw a quick kick! And it worked!) was the stunner of the week. All they had to do was keep skimming through their weak sauce schedule and they were in the playoff. But even a single lame L has probably knocked them out. Did not see that coming, thought this was an easy one for the Cougars.
(16) Kansas State. They got thoroughly handled at home by Arizona State....not good.
(18) Washington State. Couldn't pull out the shoot out at New Mexico State. Not necessarily a terrible loss but if the Cougars were truly top 20, they would've won this match.
(19) Louisville. Likewise, losing late a Stanford isn't the end of the world....for a non-ranked team. But if the Cards are worthy of top 20 consideration, then this is a game they should've won.
(22) Louisiana State. Losing at Florida is just the next bend of this year's roller coaster.
Next week's intriguing matches
(5) Indiana @ (2) Ohio State (Hoosiers in the top 5? It's a new world....)
Kentucky @ (3) Texas (this should be a blow out, but UK does play their best against good teams, so if Texas is actually good, this could turn interesting; but if UT is overrated and isn't for real....then...this will be over by halftime....?)
(4) Penn State @ Minnesota (is it weird that I find this match compelling? The Nittany Lions should win with ease and yet I can't help thinking they won't)
(14) Brigham Young @ (21) Arizona State (BYU probably blew their season last week and really have nothing play for, Arizona State has been coming on lately and is playing their best ball right now; this might be nothing or it might be a for-real match)
(16) Colorado @ Kansas (can KU go back-to-back heartbreaking upsets? Can Colorado keep their last season march going? Again, this should be a walkover but somehow I feel like it's gonna be a good one)
(19) Army @ (6) Notre Dame (the Irish have been low key trucking people for two straight months, while Army has low key just been piling up W's; Notre Dame should roll the Cadets but they might not)
My top 12
1 Oregon
2 Ohio State
3 Texas
4 Notre Dame
5 Penn State
6 Indiana
7 Georgia
8 Alabama
9 Southern Methodist
10 Mississippi
11 Boise State
12 Miami
(Army, Colorado still lingering with Tennessee and Brigham Young not completely out)
Friday, November 8, 2024
2024-25 NCAA Football (Week 10)
Monday, October 28, 2024
2024-25 NCAA Football (Week 9)
Games I saw (some of):
(12) Notre Dame 51-14 (24) Navy
Well, Navy gave the ball away early and often and this game got out of control right away.....and.....
(21) Missouri 0-34 (15) Alabama
Missouri never got any offense going at all, Bama completely took over right before halftime....so....
Real Madrid 0-4 Barcelona
....I watched La Liga rather than la college football. This was the more interesting match, though this was a scoreless draw at the half. Then Lewandowski connected, then he connected again right away, then he put a gimme off the post soon after, then put another makeable shot over the bar in a span of, like, 5 minutes and before you knew it, this game was a laugher. The match felt even til Barca went off and left Real behind. This is the kind of result that gets people fired.
(9) Louisiana State 23-38 (14) Texas A&M
Similarly: LSU seemed in control until the 3rd quarter when QB Nussmeier kept trying to pass to receivers that weren't open, which led to A&M seemingly always with the ball in scoring distance. LSU kept giving it away, A&M kept piling up points and this one got out of control right quick, too.....so
(Game Two) Yankees 2-4 Dodgers
....I mostly watched baseball tonight. Dodgers went for back-to-back jacks off Rodon and the Yanks couldn't counter. My thought was Dodgers in 6, I'm sticking with it: I like them to take one in NYC and then wrap it up back in LA.
Top 25
Handled their business
(1) Oregon, (3) Penn State, (4) Ohio State, (5) Texas, (6) Miami, (11) Brigham Young, (12) Notre Dame, (13) Indiana, (14) Texas A&M, (15) Alabama, (16) Kansas State (17) Boise State, (18) Mississippi, (19) Pittsburgh
Won but did not impress
(22) Southern Methodist. Scrambling in OT to beat....Duke? I dunno, man, I'm already Mustang-ed out.
(I declined to add (4) Ohio State, (16) Kansas State or (17) Boise State because they were playing pesky conference opponents and though none of them blew me away, they each secured conference W's and I can't front on that)
Bad beat
(20) Illinois. The Illini have had a nice season, but no one was expecting them to win at Oregon.
(21) Missouri. Up and down and, well, this week at Tuscaloosa was one of the downs.
(24) Navy. Yeah, this is insult to injury. A ranked squad getting smoked at home by anybody probably ought to be a "Not so good", but I guess I gotta say I never really believed in Navy and getting sliced and diced by the Irish wasn't a shock.
(25) Vanderbilt. Oh, Vandy, keeping it close to the #1 team in the land...? WTF is going on....?
Not so good
(8) Louisiana State. Things were going fine til LSU started turning the ball over and then....just kept turning the ball over. If they'd just played normal football, I think they would've won.
Next week's intriguing matches:
(13) Indiana @ Michigan State (with the way the Hoosiers are rolling, you'd think this would be a gimme against a so-so Spartan squad, but I dunno, man, Michigan State lives for fucking up other peoples' good seasons; if the Hoosiers are for real, they will pummel the Spartans, we'll see what happens)
(10) Texas A&M @ South Carolina (the Gamecocks are not pushovers and if A&M thinks they turned some corner by beating LSU, they might have another thing coming, this should be a petty good match)
(18) Pittsburgh @ (20) Southern Methodist (I dunno, they're both ranked but I have little interest in either of these teams, so....I reckon I'll be watching baseball or NHL or Bundesliga or something)
(4) Ohio State @ (3) Penn State (okay, here we go, winner gets a major boost)