Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Where will Anthony Davis make his living?

Team - Chances of #1 pick - Chances at top-3 pick

Bobcats - 25% - 64.19%
Wizards - 19.9% - 55.74%
Cavaliers - 13.8% - 42.57%
Hornets - 13.7& - 42.33%
Kings - 7.6% - 25.5%
Nets - 7.5% - 25.19%
Warriors - 3.6% - 12.66%
Raptors - 3.5% - 12.32%
Pistons - 1.7% - 6.1%
Timberwolves - 1.1% - 3.97%
Trail Blazers - 0.8% - 2.9%
Bucks - 0.7% - 2.54%
Suns - 0.6% - 2.18%
Rockets - 0.5% - 1.81%

I have ties to Charlotte, having lived there for years, but I have very little faith in that team right now.  Wow, they are bad from top to bottom and I don't see how they get better.  Davis would be stifled there, anchoring a terrible team with no plan for the future.  I sure hope they don't get him.  Over the years the team that was the odds-on favorite has very rarely won the top pick--let's hope that trend continues.  Similarly, the Wizards, while better than Charlotte, are not a team with much identity or vision.  Wall and Davis would make a great combo but I don't see them winning many games together. 

Personally, I think the best spot for him on this list would be the Timberwolves.  Great passing PG (Rubio), great rebounding forward (Love), good frontline talent already there, I think that is the place where he gets to come in and contribute to something that's already building instead of having to play the 'savior'.  As great as Davis is--and I think his offensive potential was barely touched at Kentucky--I don't think he's a savior.  He's a complimentary player who needs some service in order to really shine.  In Minnesota, he would have room to play his game without having unrealistic expectations heaped on him right away. 

Another fine landing spot for Davis would be the Cavaliers.  Again, great young PG, good talent upfront and a culture that has had some recent success, a team with some sense of how to get back to where they need to be.  Davis would fit nicely there, hopefully finding his spots to mature into his NBA body.   I think the Bucks, Pistons and Warriors would give him room to grow without expecting too much of him while the Rockets need only a big man to send them deep into the playoffs.

Any chance for a trade?  It'd have to be a blockbuster.  Pau Gasol, anyone?

Monday, May 14, 2012

Thunder-Lakers

The Lakers have hard to work soooo hard to get where they are right now.  Kobe is still Kobe, as efficient a scoring machine as Jordan in his prime.  But the rest of that squad is stale, baby.  Pau Gasol is a player when he feels like showing up, Andrew Bynum is good when he's not being an idiot, Ron Artest (or Osama bin Jerkhead or whatever his name is) still plays solid D but doesn't have enough consistent offense to be of much use, and Ramon Sessions may be better than Derek Fisher (but then again, so am I!) but he's not as good as Westbrook and that bench is pretty un-memorable.  So how does LA win?  They don't.  If Kobe goes hognutty, I'll give them a game in Staples.  Otherwise, the Lake show is done for the year.  Thunder in 5.


Spurs-Clippers

I watched that Grizzlies-Clippers game 7 and I still can't figure out how Memphis lost.  Well, they didn't score any points, no one could hit the broad side of a Griffin that day but even still I thought the tenacious D would pull it out for them.  What happened?  The Grizz struck me as the better team in virtually every game of that series.  How they came back from 3-1, won a close-out game on the Clippers floor (er, well, the Lakers floor), and then failed to show up for game 7 back home is a baffler.  The Clips didn't even play well!  A lot was made of how 'big' the Clipper bench but honestly that was because Chris Paul and Blake Griffin were both pretty horrible and, well, you have to give credit to somebody.  So congrats to those dudes that no one can name.  And, oh the way, you got ZERO shot against the Spurs.  The Spurs are tanned, rested and ready.  They've been balling all year long, Tony Parker is the most underrated player in the league and they've had a layover between games, which suits them to a T unlike a lot of teams that get rusty.  Seriously, I'll take the Spurs in 4.  Maybe Chris Paul comes up big in games 3 or 4, but unless that happens, I don't see how the Clips even come close to hanging.  The Spurs have more scoring, more discipline and the expectation of success.  And they no longer have to worry about their nemesis, the Memphis Grizzlies.


Man City Wins

Wow!  I watched the first half of Man City before picking up my mom for a Mother's Day brunch (see?  I'm a good kid!).  Fortunately for me (maybe not so much for mom), we happened to be eating in a bistro that fancies itself Continental and they were watching Premiership highlights and I got to see the final moments of that crazy comeback against QPR.  Wow!  How they gave up two goals to QPR remains a mystery but the comeback cannot be denied.  The fact that Man U won their game to give them a glimmer of hope to win it all just makes it all sweeter.

Heat-Pacers

Yeah, I missed one of these game already too.  But the Pacers aren't gonna win in Miami and therein lies their downfall.  They're a good solid squad, they're on the way up and given the Bulls' injury troubles and the Magic's Dwight Howard troubles, the Pacers have a great shot at being the team that competes with the Heat for the next coupla years.  They build this thing just right and it begins to look like Isiah's Pistons fighting the Celtics until they finally cracked the code.  So I think the Pacers are gonna lay it all out and give the Heat something to remember.  I don't anticipate the Pacers will win more than one game but I do think every single game will be competitive...I just think Miami's better.   Heat in 5.

(This just in: Chris Bosh may be out for the rest of the playoffs.  I'll still take Miami to win the east but they're chances of beating Ok City or San Antonio takes a serious hit without Bosh)

Celtics-Sixers

Yeah, I already missed a game but that is a game that I gave the Sixers 50/50 shot at winning.  I think of it like this: the Sixers are capable of being better than the Celtics from beginning to end of probably one game out of four; and I reckon the Celtics are capable of mailing it in, putting forth zero effort and taking a beating about one game out of four.  But for the most part the Celtics are more efficient, more experienced and they know what they're doing whereas the Sixers are lucky to have gotten this far.  I'll take the Celtics in 6. 

Tuesday, May 1, 2012

Sexy's back

Just trying to get this blog up and running again. How'm I doing?