Thursday, January 24, 2008

Australian Open update

Women's Final
Sharapova v. Ivanovic

I've seen a little of both of these ladies and they both looked strong. I'll take Sharapova.

Monday, January 14, 2008

NFL Quarterfinals

Packers 42-20. Seattle was up 14-0 in the first 5 minutes of the game and got smoked 42-6 from then on. I was only vaguely watching this game, just eyeballing it now and again to make sure that Green Bay was still piling on points. The Seahawks continue to be one of the most frustrating squads in all of sports: they occasionally look really good but just as often look inept and untalented. I still like that O line, those LB's, they’ve got an MVP RB, a QB that doesn't make mistakes, wideouts that have gotten over their dropsies and a really unique homefield advantage--why aren't they better? I picked the winner and the over but I missed on the dog.

Pats 31-20. The Jags got the end zone on their first 2 drives and sacked Brady on the Pats' very first play. Not much after that. I watched all of this game but I was pretty hammered by halftime so my perceptions are not interesting even to me. As I recall the Jags played well, it never felt like a blowout but they were 2nd best team on the field. I was right on the winner, the dog and the over.

Chargers 28-24. This was a strange game. Indy out-played them in every way, Peyton was unstoppable, the refs were homering all the way and the Chargers lost LT and Rivers in the first half. How did the Colts lose? I thought they'd win easily in an even contest but somehow with all the slants against them the Chargers made plays when they needed to and took advantage of every opportunity. An interesting performance, they'll need a lot more than that next week in Foxboro. Missed the winner and the fave but I got the over.

NYG 21-17. My prediction of the Cowboys pulling it out late was looking pretty good when the Cowboys got the ball on the 50 with 7 minutes to go. But Romo gave up a bad sack, had a bizarre grounding call and they ended up going back rather than forward. Romo's meltdown in the last 7 minutes was unfortunate, he made some brilliant plays early on but lost his head at the end and everyone else did too. (Where did TO disappear to in the 4th quarter?) It ended with a pick in the end zone but the game was over by then, the Cowboys offense sputtered coming down the stretch right when they needed to step up.

For my money the key play of the game was Crayton's drop with 1 minute left in the 3rd. The Cowboys were struggling to get out of their own end zone when Romo scrambles around and leaning backward against his own momentum in between two guys he hits Crayton dead on his palms perfectly in stride with miles of empty space ahead of him and he drops it. Man, that hurt. Instead of a big gain, something that might have put them in FG range, they punt, NYG drives and goes back on top. The 4th quarter is totally different if he catches that ball. Oh well, that possible future is now closed.

NY's touchdown drive at the end of the 1st half was huge, big momentum swing and Eli really planted his flag right there. And NYG owned the Cowboys on special teams, with many nice returns in the second half. Hard to imagine NYG winning at Lambeau so will a conference championship appearance be enough to earn Eli a little breathing room in the Big Apple media? I missed the winner and the over but I won with the dog.

Saturday, January 12, 2008

NFL Quarterfinals

1/12 4:30 PM
Seattle 43o
Green Bay -7.5

I'll take Packers 27-24. Seahawks and the over.

1/12 8:00 PM
Jacksonville 49.5o
New England -13

Pats 37-27. Jags and the over.

1/13 1:00 PM
San Diego 46o
Indianapolis -9

Colts 35-21. Colts and the over.

1/13 4:30 PM
New York 46.5o
Dallas -7.5

Cowboys 31-27. NYG and the over.

Tuesday, January 8, 2008

BCS Champ Loses to Kentucky!

Yes, I know that headline doesn't play anywhere but here. But here is where I am and I doubt (I didn't bother to check) that UK has ever beaten a national champion in football so I went in that direction to kick off my post-championship analysis.

I was surprised that LSU was able to move the ball so easily against the Buckeye D. I thought LSU's weakness was at the QB spot and Ohio State would be ready for a steady diet of Hester between the tackles and Doucet to the outside, but they seemed back on their heels for the entire first half. I was also surprised at the way LSU corners dominated the Buckeye wideouts--OSU had nothing there all night long. They were stuck with the middle of the field and that gave that big Tiger D line all they needed to plug the running lanes. The roughing the punter penalty really killed the Buckeyes: instead of stopping LSU cold on their first drive of the second half, they were able to eat up more time of possession and stick another 7 on the board. That hurt bad. What would've been a momentum booster became a deflator instead. The Buckeye D was much more effective in the second half but that opening drive was too much to overcome since the Buckeyes had no big play ability.

My prediction incidentally was something like (I've forgotten which file its in) Ohio State 28-20. I thought it would be LSU that would get a quick lead and then fade as the Buckeye D re-grouped and the offense found a few holes in the Tiger secondary. There were no holes to be found and Broeckman just ain't the guy to find them. He held the ball too long too many times. This was due to the coverage, not his fault, but the ball is in his hands and he's the one that's got to deal with the action--dude, even on 4th down you've got to get rid of it.

This was the strangest year of college football I've ever witnessed. I was visiting a friend the night Ohio State lost to Illinois and the commentators were saying that the Buckeyes were now clearly out of the championship picture. My friend, a sporting novice, asked why they were saying that and I replied, 'I don't know. I don't think they are out because there's a lot of losing left.' I don't think that at that moment I particularly thought that Ohio State would actually get back to the top of the rankings but I can't say I was too surprised. Everybody lost this year. Everybody. Even the teams that never lose, they lost too. It wasn't that long ago that Kansas-West Virginia seemed like the championship match-up. As disappointing as that would've been to a lot of people (re: the grumpy national media that can't see beyond big stars and traditional powers), it would've been more representative of what this year was really like rather than the match we got. But it didn't happen because Kansas just couldn't keep it together against a feisty Missouri squad (Missouri played Championship spoiler--see what I'm saying?) and West Virginia had one of the worst choke performances I've ever witnessed--and I'm a Buffalo Bills fan! Everybody lost this year, even the underdogs.

Everybody had their chances--even Kentucky!--so you can't feel sorry for anyone except for 1 team: Oregon. If Dixon doesn't get hurt, he wins the Heisman and they probably end up facing Ohio State instead of 2-loss LSU. They limped into the bowl season and acquitted themselves nicely by pummeling upstart South Florida but they were one injury away from getting some glory.

This season reminded me of the 2002 World Cup. There were a lot of early exits by the major players that year: Argentina, France, Portugal all got bounced in group play. And they were replaced by wacky non-traditional squads like USA, Mexico, Turkey, South Korea, Senegal and Sweden. It was exciting to see the crazy upsets but in the end who played in the final? Brazil and Germany, which even soccer hating Americans know are the 2 top powers in the 'football' world. In the really crazy years I guess it's even more likely that the old schools finagle their way in to the big game.

One last snarky comment about this season: Tim Tebow did not deserve the Heisman. Don't get me wrong, he's the best player in college football and I have no doubt if he stays for 4 years he will go down as one of the all-time great college QB's. And may well win 3 straight Heismans! I'm sure his staggering stats looked great when you're sitting in an air-conditioned office in New York but down south we know he ran it up on Vanderbilt, Kentucky and South Carolina and got clobbered by Auburn, Georgia and LSU. How the hell you gonna give the Heisman to a QB with 3 losses? Yeah, his numbers were great but so were Colt Brennan's and he went undefeated! I know he got smooshed like a grape in his bowl game--uh, so did Tebow--but Brennan's the one that dragged Hawaii into a game they didn't deserve to be in and that's actually a pretty impressive feat in a world where that spot is usually reserved for Notre Dame.

So another tough loss for Buckeye fans. But don't worry, you've got a great shot at getting back next year! My pre-season top 3: Florida, USC, Ohio State as we get back to more predictability in the college gridiron game. I'll take Southern Cal over Florida in the Championship with Tebow winning back-to-back Heismans.