Saturday, October 20, 2007

NFL Week 7

Tennessee 1.5 HOUSTON
DETROIT 2.0 Tampa Bay
New England 16.5 MIAMI
NEW ORLEANS 9.0 Atlanta
NEW YORK (NYG) 9.0 San Francisco
Baltimore 3.0 BUFFALO
WASHINGTON 8.5 Arizona
OAKLAND 2.5 Kansas City
CINCINNATI 6.5 New York (NYJ)
PHILADELPHIA 5.5 Chicago
SEATTLE 8.5 St. Louis
DALLAS 9.5 Minnesota
Pittsburgh 3.5 DENVER
Indianapolis 3.0 JACKSONVILLE

I see Houston and Tennessee (sans Vince Young) as relatively equal, so I'll take the home dog.
Tampa Bay has been better than anticipated and Detroit perhaps less so, but they're not that far apart and I'll take the home fave here.
Yeah, yeah, Miami has New England's number and this is the classic trap game and all that, but I'll take the Pats to pummel the Dolphins even on a very bad day.
So are the Saints ready to play again? I guess I'm thinking they are at least ready enough to run it up on a crippled Falcons squad.
I'm not exactly sold on NYG just yet but the Niners on the road are nothing special, so I'll stick with the Eli-Plaxico tandem to be big enough.
I haven't been impressed with the Ravens so far while the Bills remind me of the pre-Vince Titans: they not very talented but they play hard. Frankly, I think this has push written all over it, the Ravens with a late FG to win it.
I'm not sold on the Redskins minus a Felini (8.5--get it?) but the Cards on the road with a 3rd string QB just isn't giving me much reason to take the dog.
Raiders and Chiefs are probably pretty even these days, but I'll take the Raiders D to hold LJ reasonably in check. (And thanks to the bookmakers for avoiding the push by throwing in that extra half point because I can definitely see a last minute FG winning this game either way!)
Bengals-NYJ is a puzzle: both of these teams are collapsing badly. I'm not convinced the Bengals are a TD better even at home, but I do think NYJ is falling apart faster--is that a good reason to give points?
The Eagles at home against a wobbling Bears team should be an easy pick. So why am I going with the Bears? Not sure but the Eagles can throw up 40 or just throw up.
The Rams are not looking good these days, they may not get a W til December. I think the Seahawks are ready to break out and a struggling division opponent might be just what they need.
I like the Cowboys, they're solid and they'll win. But they've farted around much too much the last coupla weeks and I like the Vikings to keep it close.
The Steelers are clearly a much better team than the Broncos. So why only 3.5? I don't get it, this one's too easy.
This is exactly where everyone wants to count out the Colts but I think that's when they're at their best. I like the Colts not to run it up but to jump out early and hold on.

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