Showing posts with label rankings. Show all posts
Showing posts with label rankings. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

2018-19 NCAA Football (Week 8)

Games I watched (some of):
I watched more baseball than football this Saturday.  But I caught a little of Michigan over Michigan State (Sparty's D was okay but they got no offense going in this game) and Oklahoma over TCU (felt like OU was gonna score every time the ball was snapped). 


Top 25
Handled their business
(1) Alabama, (3) Clemson, (5) LSU, (6) Michigan, (9) Oklahoma, (10) Central Florida, (14) Kentucky, (15) Washington, (18) Penn State, (19) Iowa, (23) Wisconsin

Did not impress
(21) South Florida (I don't know, man, feels like they could've had a more decisive victory hosting UConn; they got the W, but failing to cover against a lightweight conference opponent at home is kinda soft)

Bad beat
(16) North Carolina State (I thought they had a decent shot to make some noise, but Clemson finally busted out their most impressive game of the season, so...uh...not happening for the Wolfpack)
(19) Mississippi State (they weren't gonna win at LSU, you know it, I know it, the American people know it)
(24) Michigan State (frankly, Sparty is overrated at #24 and Michigan has quietly put together a pretty good season so far, this game was about right)

Not so good
(2) Ohio State (yipes! I thought they kinda lucked out against TCU and Penn State, but they got the W's, so you can't front; but, man, getting thumped by Purdue is not good, they can still play spoiler but it's hard to imagine the Buckeyes getting into the playoff with this kind of L on their resume)
(12) Oregon (haven't been impressed with Oregon so far this season, not sure how they got up to #12, but they got pretty well throttled in Pullman; Pac-12, man, it's a blender every year)
(20) Cincinnati (I really thought they'd easily handle Temple, but not so much)


Next week's key matches:
(9) Florida @ (7) Georgia
(18) Iowa @ (17) Penn State
(12) Kentucky @ Missouri
(14) Washington State @ (24) Stanford

Wednesday, July 9, 2014

World Cup Rankings: 1-4

1. Germany -- Sure there's still a game left but even if Germany loses to Argentina, it'd still be an impressive enough loss to keep them ahead of Argentina in my book (did that make sense?).  They played well against France, Algeria and USA (three squads that impressed me) and put utter beatdowns on Brazil and Portugal.  I'm willing to overlook their lackluster effort against Ghana and I'd even overlook a loss to the great Messi.  Germany has just been better than everyone else.  I think they're playing better than Argentina, I think they are better than Argentina, I think they will be better than Argentina on Sunday and I suspect they'll stay better than Argentina over the next 2-4 years.  Like Roger Federer in his prime, they're not unbeatable but you're surprised any time they lose.

2. Argentina -- They've had an amazing amount of 1-0 wins (Bosnia, Iran, Switzerland, Belgium) and scoreless draw with Netherlands, so you know that defense is getting it done.  And Messi has gotten loose just enough to keep the wins coming.  They've got a puncher's chance against Germany but I think the Germans are a better squad, deeper, more disciplined, just as focused as the Argentines right now.  I kinda half-wanted to see them play Brazil in the 3rd place game but they earned a good win against the Netherlands, they're gonna give Germany all they can handle.  But...will Messi be back in 2016?  I doubt it, what will this team look like next time around?  Obviously Argentina is one of the all-time great squads but when they fail to produce that one singular talent that elevates the team, they tend to flounder.  What does the post-Messi look like?

3. Netherlands -- This is a veteran group and they're coming together well enough right now.  They drubbed Spain, drubbed Australia (sorta), snuck past Chile, Mexico and Costa Rica, went to penalties against Messi, and they have a good chance to drop a beatdown on Brazil in their homeland.  So, yeah, pretty good tournament for them.  Too bad they couldn't solve Argentina's defense. And, like Argentina, I wonder how this team holds together going forward.  Van Persie and Sneider both looked gassed today and Robben couldn't get it done by himself.  The core is still there if they can pour in some fresh talent around them.

4. Colombia -- Impressive.  No problems against Ivory Coast (Africa), Greece (Europe), Japan (Asia) or Uruguay (South America).  Really deserved better against Brazil (I bet Colombia would've given Germany a game in the semi-finals).  James Rodriguez was THE breakout star of this tournament and that is something to build on.  If Brazil stays in disarray, Argentina suffer a post-Messi letdown, and Uruguay continues to search for talent, these could be heady days for Colombian soccer.  (Yup, even though they lost I'm putting them higher than Brazil if for no other reason than Brazil deserves a downgrade based on that performance against Germany)

World Cup Rankings: 5-8

5. France -- Beatdown Honduras, beatdown Switzerland, lackluster draw with Ecuador, beat Nigeria, gave Germany a tough match.  Young and dangerous, not the peak of the Zidane/Henry years but better than the average French side from my youth.  The ease with which they vanquished their group struck me as for real.  Nigeria played them even for 70 minutes or so, but France wore them down and thumped them convincingly.  As for the Germany match, neither team held the ball consistently and Germany's goal was just one of those Germany goals, not much you can do about it.  I thought France played well, looked dangerous, looked good going forward.

6. Mexico -- Mexico has made the round of 16 in 7 of the last 8 Cups.  That's impressive.  Now they just have to figure how to win once they get there.  Mexico is a conundrum: they play well against the Latin American giants but they are often neutralized by USA and European-style teams.  I thought they played well against Brazil and the Netherlands and were better then Bosnia and Cameroon.  Mexico deserved to be in this mix, this is not a fluke.  But building on it and getting deeper into the tournament is their mission.

7. Brazil -- This squad kinda sucked, actually.  Once you get past the thumping of Croatia (how would you like to play Brazil in Brazil on the opening day of the biggest event on the planet?  Yeah, you might lose 3-1 too), and the beatdown of Cameroon (#30 on my list), Brazil failed to impress against Mexico or Chile and (I thought) got kinda lucky against Colombia.  Take the lackluster performances and remove Neymar and Thiago Silva and they got exposed by Germany as weak in the front, out of shape in the mid, and clueless in the back.  Man, they went out ugly--and they still have to play Netherlands!  (If I were Scolari I'd empty out that bench, start 'em all, shake it up as much as possible, keep the stars from getting double-drilled and give the newbies a chance to shine out)

8. Algeria -- Looking back on it, Algeria was one of my favorite teams to watch in this Cup and one of the most interesting.  They played well against Belgium but lost it in a bad flurry, whomped South Korea, scratched a draw from Russia, played Germany as hard for 90 minutes as anyone in this tournament.  They played stifling D at times, attacking offense at times, and swaggered into the round of 16 with nothing to lose.  I hope this Algeria team holds it together and comes back strong in 4 years.

World Cup Rankings: 9-12

9. Chile -- Whooped Australia, handled Spain, held their own against Netherlands and got an unlucky result against Brazil.  Chile had a pretty good tournament.  I'm curious to see how they do in the next Copa America.  With Brazil waning, Argentina sure to have a post-Cup hangover, Chile and Colombia look primed to do some damage in the next few years.

10. Belgium -- They were okay, I guess.  Did what they needed to do against Algeria, Russia, South Korea and USA, played pretty good against Argentina, can't call the tournament a failure.  But considering the hype they came in with and all that firepower up front, they never really turned my head.  They won, yeah, I get that, but I think their talent is either overrated or the system is not going to push them past their better competitors.

11. USA -- Lucky against Ghana, well enough against Portugal, game efforts against Germany and Belgium, I thought USA acquitted themselves well but really should've done better.  The talent is starting to get there but Coach Klinsmann employed virtually no offensive strategy to speak of, which is unlike how USA played in qualifying.  The possession up the middle game with Bradley-Jones-Dempsey is sorely lacking, while the speed up the wing seemed like a last resort.  I dunno, I think this team is on the rise (still) and hopefully we'll find some offense in the next 4 years.

12. Costa Rica -- Put the wood to the real group of death (blew out Uruguay, beat Italy, hard won draw with England), skipped past Greece and played well against the Netherlands.  Can't front on anything they did in this tournament, quarterfinals is a great accomplishment.  But I'm more familiar with Costa Rica (CONCACAF), watched them for years.  They have a savvy about them that often outplays their talent and they usually have good talent.  That said, I've been watching USA and Mexico handle them for years so its hard for me to see this as anything other than a wonderful run for Costa Rica rather than a harbinger of future awesomeness.  I think  CONCACAF as a whole is improving and I'll take Costa Rica to grow with the group.

World Cup Rankings: 13-16

13. Switzerland -- They got lucky against Ecuador, got drilled by France, whooped up on hapless Honduras and competed well against Argentina.  Never been a fan of these guys but they are regular fixtures in the Cup, might as well get used to them.  They play like geographically you would expect: general shape of Germany, try to move forward like France.  Except they're not as good as either.  I don't know if they ought to be better or if I'm just blind to their charms.

14. Greece -- Lucky against Ivory Coast, lucky against Japan, not at all lucky against Colombia or Costa Rica.  I still haven't gotten used to Greece.  I don't see how they keep moving forward.  I don't see how they get better in the future.

15. Nigeria -- They played two disappointing games (a draw with Iran, a smackdown from France) and two kinda okay games (lucky win over Bosnia, fun loss to Argentina).  The two 'better' games can't in my mind overtake the two lame ones.  Disappointing show from Nigeria but the fact that they still made the round of 16 is telling: they're good enough to have expectations put on them but apparently not good enough to rise to those expectations....yet.

16. Uruguay -- Uruguay didn't show well.  For one of the game's true giants, a final four participant last time around, they did not look dangerous with or without Suarez.  They took advantage of weak England and Italy squads but getting drilled by Costa Rica was telling and their inability to get anything going against Colombia was too.  Uruguay is not a good place right now but they are as resilient as anyone in world soccer and they did advance out of groups so I guess I can't put them too far off the pace.

World Cup Rankings: Bottom 16

17. Spain -- Definitely on the way down.  Man, Spain fell like the Miami Heat this year: they just woke up one day and realized they weren't champions any more.  Spain dominated for 6 straight years on a ball control mid-field that was maybe the best that's ever been.  Think about that: they weren't great scorers, they weren't great defenders, their games was to dribble the ball until the opponent had forgotten they were even playing soccer, and eventually Spain would pass the ball into the goal.  Their one superpower was untouchable passing.  And that vanished quickly in this tournament and after that they had nothing left.  But just to counter-factualize: what if they played Australia first and then Netherlands last?  Instead of opening with a beatdown from a familiar rival, they could've opened by delivering a beatdown on a farflung colleague...might've made all the difference for them.  Oh well, we live in the universe where Spain got clocked on opening day.  Veteran teams always last one Cup too long.  Where do they go from here?  I can't imagine they'll suck but they can't possibly be as good, so #17 in the world is probably a good place to put them (for now).

18. Bosnia-Herzegovina -- I was impressed with Bosnia's play against Messi (he only shook loose against them once), got unlucky against Nigeria (robbed on one end, then robbed on the other) and closed with a convincing W on Iran.  All in all, they played well, didn't get the luck they needed but looked like a stout side for the most part.

19. Ivory Coast -- They got a bad beat against Greece (fair cop, though), blitzed Japan and floundered against Colombia (they made a lot of people look like flounderers).  Not a great performance but they were okay with some star power.  Not sure whether they're on the way up or down.

20. Croatia -- Good offense, played well against Brazil and Mexico, laid a beatdown on hapless Cameroon (I probably shouldn't be so impressed but I like when a team steps up and piles it on once in a while).  My gut is they are a legit European side and will be back in the next Cup.

21. Italy -- This Italy side just never got any offense going.  They still had the old time swagger and they weren't awful, just that Costa Rica came to play and the rest of the big dogs (why wasn't this the Group of Death?) stayed up on the porch.  Italy can't possibly be this bad next time around.  Even though this particular squad didn't bring it, realistically Italy is much higher than #21 in the world.

22. Portugal -- I dunno, man, outside of Ronaldo the team didn't look that dangerous to me.  USA gave them two poor goals, Ghana did as well.  Furthermore, they don't get Ronaldo the ball enough, they don't play like a team that likes each other and they're not getting any younger.  Portugal is on the way down.

23. Ghana -- Couldn't really get a feel for this Ghana side.  They outplayed USA and didn't get a result, outplayed Germany (probably Champions) but they didn't show up for Portugal.  Lot of internal turmoil and while they had good looking talent, they never developed the proper team ethic.  Africa is always fluid so maybe they'll be back next time, maybe not.

24. Russia -- Stood their ground on D pretty well but didn't hold the ball in midfield very well.  Not much offense, not much team identity.  They were in a soft group and couldn't find their way through it.

25. England -- Old, creaky.  England always produces talent, they'll have new players next time around, might take a while to gel but I suspect by Euro 2020 they'll be one of the dangerous sides again.

26. South Korea -- South Korea is starting to pass the 'bus' test: when they get off the bus at the stadium, they look like for-real ballers.  Big kids, good athletes, good discipline.  But not yet enough talent.  I think South Korea is a team that has steadily improved over the last 20 years and I think they will continue to improve and should dominate their region for a while.  As South Korea becomes a regular at this tournament, we'll perhaps see an Asian-style truly develop.

27. Ecuador -- Bad loss to Switzerland, so-so win over Honduras, draw against a listless France.  Not an impressive run. With Colombia and Chile looking pretty strong, not sure there's much room for Ecuador next time around.

28. Iran -- Iran is generally one of the powerhouses of the Middle East (or used to be before the Ayatollah arrived and banned anything that might be more popular them him) and the team has good shape, good discipline.  But I'm not seeing the athletes or the gameplan that could deliver wins.  Along with South Korea (and China, right?  Doesn't Chine eventually have to get good at soccer?), I reckon Iran will be a regular fixture in the World Cup but they've got a ways to go to make the leap into contender.

29. Australia -- I dunno, man, I thought these guys sucked.  They remind me of USA circa 1998 and that is not a good thing.  The squad is a bunch of blocky white guys that play crunching defense but don't look capable of scoring (that said, Cahill's rocket against the Dutch was maybe the best goal of the whole shebang).  They don't look strong at holding the ball or pressing forward.  (Not sure the population of Australia or the layout of the nation-state allows for them to get any better at soccer (or basketball))

30. Cameroon -- Beatdown by Brazil, beatdown by Croatia, played well against Mexico.  Not a good showing from Cameroon (though they did have at least one okay game against a good opponent).  Again, Africa is very fluid, they are about 7-8 countries realistically vying for 3 spots.  Maybe Cameroon pulls it together, maybe not.  I didn't see much to build on.

31. Japan -- Apart from a 10 minute spurt early in their 1st game (against Ivory Coast), Japan basically never threatened at all.  The D was okay, the shape and discipline is there.  But I'm not seeing the athletes.  (Can I make a suggestion, Japan?  Study Mexico.  Physically they're similar and their close-quarter ball handling is something Japan needs to make use of)

32. Honduras -- Pretty poor showing.  Clobbered by France (I thought France was pretty good), run by Ecuador (competed as well as they could have, I guess) and drubbed by Switzerland (that should never happen to anyone).

Is this a proper ranking for International Soccer?  Sure, why not?  I mean obviously the small sample size doesn't really give much of an occasion for analysis but these games are the games countries are trying to win.  These are the games that matter, the World Cup is the reason you want to rank teams.  Is this perfect?  No, but the most recent history is a reasonable place to start.