Vick pleas, pleas, pleas

Micheal Vick has apparently agreed to a plea deal according to CNBC (still waiting for ESPN News to pick up the story--oh, there it is), although there are no details at this point. I would think between 12-15 months in prison and a 2-year suspension from the NFL. Then what?

The other day John Clayton and Merril Hoge were on the radio and Clayton suggested Vick would end up in the Arena League which Hoge continually derided suggesting that Vick simply doesn't fit the Arena game. I agree with both of them. I, too, had been thinking that Vick would end up in the Arena League, as wrestling wouldn't welcome him (lot of dog lovers in that target audience) nor would Canada (still too radioactive, probably too expensive for a guy who will have been out of the game for a coupla years), so I think Clayton was on the right track. That said, Hoge is right that the game doesn't suit Vick. The Arena league is a precision league (Hell in a Very Small Place to borrow from 'Nam parlance) not a game for renegade athletic types.

Upon further thought, I think the only way he comes back is in the Arena League as an RB. His completion percentage and his field vision just aren't good enough for the high speed Arena game and his footwork is just a detriment. The only place his athleticism becomes useful is if the ball is in hands and he's moving forward. Or perhaps he could play safety.

On the legal side, I'd say Vick's better off taking the deal. If he went to trial and all those details came out, people would hate him forever. Now, there's a chance that he disappears for a while and comes back as a harmless laughing stock. I know there will always be people willing to take a chance on talent but I'd say his NFL days are probably already over: he was not exactly widely hailed as a success as a QB and a position change would just be goofy. Dude, you were the #1 pick, how could you fuck up this bad? What were you thinking?