Monday, May 25, 2015

The #5 Pick

Currently Orlando holds the #5 pick.  They've got the pieces to be active this off-season, a youthful roster full of movable contracts, just a matter of figuring which players to build around. PG Payton, PG/SG Oladipo, SF Harris, PF Frye/Gordon, C Vucevic are the core going forward.  Ben Gordon, Ridnour are the crafty veterans (or they're taking up the space where the crafty veterans would go) who each have one more year of bench minutes before moving on to wherever.  Next season is about incorporating whoever this top five pick turns out to be and seeing where Harkless, Nicholson, Fournier, Dedmon (all in the last years of their deals) fit in for the future.  This time next year, the Magic front office hopes to be putting the finishes touches on bringing in whichever free agents complement the core and holding on to the players that emerge this season.  The Magic should be aiming for the playoffs this year, the #8 seed could be theirs if all of the maturation years mesh together.

My first thought was the Magic may covet Okafor and could put together a package (say, #5 pick, the #51 pick, Andrew Nicholson and a 2016 1st rounder) to move up.  But looking over the roster, I think the Magic should stay where they are and scoop up Winslow. The top 3 picks seem pretty well set in stone: Towns, Okafor, Russell.  Then the Knicks at #4 are a conundrum (Porzingas, Cauley-Stein, Turner seem most likely to me); also I feel like if someone trades up to #4, they're probably going for either Mudiay or Prozingas rather than Winston.  Seems like Winslow will be there at #5.  The Magic core is pretty well set, this pick is all about adding more young depth to bring along.  I think Porzingas grades as a stretch-4 wing scorer (Gordon and Frye signed to multi-year deals);  PG is also deep, so Mudiay (or Russell if he happens to drop) probably isn't the guy.  I'd add wing scoring off the bench; if Winslow turns out to be the man, then Harkless, Fournier would be auditioning for other teams.

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