NFL Week 4 (AFC)

Teams I'm pretty sure are good: Bengals (when Dalton is kept upright he's really pretty good (think Rich Gannon of the 1990s Raiders), the pass rush is really good, the run D is solid and with Roethlisberger out and the Ravens floundering, Bengals might be ready to start selling playoff tickets), Patriots (Brady is still killing it, plan on the Pats going deep into the playoffs).

Teams that could still turn out to be really good: Broncos (that pass rush is stingy but Peyton is clearly just about done, they'll win games but they won't be dominant and its hard to imagine them going far in the playoffs...or they might), Colts (Andrew Luck is off to a horrible start, the D is not very good, the skill players are old (rather then veteran) and there doesn't seem to be much faith in the coach; but I'm still convinced Luck is the next great QB, the division is soft and there is still time to right the ship....or they could be awful), Titans (I'm digging Mariota and the defense isn't bad, if Luck can't get it going, the Titans may well take this division and surprise people in the post-season), Chiefs (I realize they have yet to do anything impressive but consider: Peyton and Rivers are in decline and even though the Raiders look okay, they're still the Raiders; the Chiefs have 3 losses but they were all to really good teams, so are the Chiefs actually a pretty good team? Could be, don't write them off just yet).

Teams that could be good but could also be really terrible: Bills (Taylor, Shady, Watkins, Harvin and a wicked pass defense is a good start; when they're not setting records for penalties they're actually pretty good but if they don't get over the stupid mistakes they'll be a laughing stock by year's end), Jets (the D is turning out to be dangerously good and Fitzpatrick is enough to keep them moving in the right direction, they've still got a lot to overcome but if they play to their capability they might actually be pretty good), Steelers (if Roethlisberger comes back in time, then that offense still has the potential to be deadly; but the D isn't great and without Roethlisberger, I don't think the Steelers go anywhere), Raiders (they're definitely playing better than they've played in over a decade, the Carr-Cooper hookup looks legit and the pass rush isn't bad but they're still young, they have a long way to go and they're still the Raiders).

Teams that look like they could be awful: Chargers (last year Rivers was a legit MVP candidate and that offense was able to rack up some points, but this year the O is sputtering and the D doesn't look superlative; the division isn't necessarily out of reach but they better get it going soon), Ravens (listless, lifeless, Flacco has never been a great regular season QB, the vaunted Raven D looks pretty ordinary, its early but I think they might be awful), Texans (the D is still scary but the offense is an absolute mess, even in a soft division I don't think Texans get it going until they draft the right QB).

Teams I'm pretty sure are terrible: Browns (tough schedule, disappointing defense, the McCown/Manziel controversy is just kind of embarrassing, even though the Steelers and Ravens are faltering they're still at the bottom of the division), Jags (while they do seem slightly better than their recent awfulness, I'm not seeing anything that looks like a good football team), Dolphins (already gave up on the coach, the offense is sputtering, the D is not living up to billing, tough division, the Dolphins are on draft pick duty).