2018 MLB Over/Unders

Opening day! Ahhhh, a good day. 

NL East
Braves (74.5) (under)
Marlins (64.5) (over)
Mets (81) (over)
Nats (92.5) (over)
Phillies (75.5) (under)

The Nats are rolling, I like them to keep it going, for Bryce Harper to have a big year and for them to easily win the division. I think the Mets are going to be better than the oddsmakers think, that pitching is gonna be pretty great this year, if they can get any consistency out of their lineup, they'll be fine. The Phillies are turning it around but I don't see them busting out this year, I think they'll be comfortably in third place. I think the Braves will be even worse than we think but that the Marlins won't be (though I'll still take the Braves to finish ahead of the Marlins)/

NL Central
Brewers (84.5) (over)
Cards (85.5) (over)
Cubs (94.5) (over)
Pirates (73) (under)
Reds (73.5) (under)

The Cubs should be in the midst of a steady rising glide path but last year was a bit of a disappointment, I think this year will be better but still somehow underwhelming. The Brewers look pretty good to me, they should be in the running for the wild card. The Cards are never terrible but I feel like they'll struggle this year--which could be even more damaging for a team that always expects to be good. The Reds will have highs and lows, but firmly in fourth place. I think the Pirates are rebuilding or will be by the end of the year (all those years of getting smoked in the play-in game will seem like halcyon days).

NL West
D-Backs (85.5) (over)
Dodgers (96.5) (over)
Giants (81.5) (under)
Padres (69.5) (over)
Rockies (82) (under)

The Dodgers should roll through this division again, look for them to be active at the trade deadline--even if they don't need to be (someone like Miguel Cabrera, for example). I like the D-Backs to keep getting better. I gotta think the Rockies take a step back this year. Ditto the Giants. The Padres may well be vastly better than recent years and still finish firmly dead last.

Playoff predictions
D-Backs over Brewers
Nats over D-Backs, Dodgers over Cubs
Dodgers over Nats


AL East
Blue Jays (81) (under)
Orioles (73) (over)
Rays (77.5) (under)
Red Sox (91.5) (under)
Yankees (94.5) (over)

Kinda think the Yankees are gonna blow up this year, they overachieved last year but I think that was a taste of what's to come. The Red Sox will be fine but somehow it'll seem like a tragedy because they won't be better than second place. I think the Orioles will play hard and surge late. I expect the Blue Jays to flounder and sell of talent as they shift back into rebuilding mode. The Rays look kinda crappy to me but I wouldn't be surprised if they finish ahead of the Blue Jays.

AL Central
Indians (94.5) (over)
Royals (71.5) (over)
Tigers (68.5) (under)
Twins (82.5) (over)
White Sox (68) (over)

As an Indians fan it makes me nervous to say this but I think they should be better than last year, that historic winning streak covered some shakey pitching, inconvenient injuries and weird lineup shuffling; I like them to be more consistent and win more games this year. The Twins could blow up, they started great last year and finished well, if they could smooth out their game over the course of the year, they could be a pleasant surprise and challenge for a wild card. The Royals will be okay. I like the White Sox in the long run but not yet this year, I think KC will have the moxy to stay ahead of them. The Tigers are going in the wrong direction, I expect them to sell of whatever good players they have and bottom out badly this year.

AL West
A's (74.5) (over)
Angels (84.5) (over)
Astros (96.5) (over)
Mariners (81.5) (under)
Rangers (77.5) (under)

Oh yeah, the Astros are damn good, deep at every position, I expect them to keep rolling this year. I like the Angels to be better than you think this year, they've got a solid bedrock to build on and I think they can make moves at the deadline if they think they've got a shot. The Mariners will be okay. The A's finished well last year, I like them to keep that going. I think the Rangers are in for a long, crummy season.

Playoff predictions
Red Sox over Angels
Yankees over Astros, Indians over Red Sox
Yankees over Indians

I like the Yankees over the Dodgers in another classic. We'll see.