Convinced they're in the playoffs: Bengals (legit, man, they're really good on both sides of the ball), Broncos (best D in the league, running game seems to have finally appeared, just picked up Vernon Davis for an over the middle target, you're in a good place when your worst regular player is Peyton Manning), Pats (O line is still a bit shaky but the D is better than usual and Brady's efficiency is unbelievable, schedule never really gets tough this year).
Top of the middle: Colts (they kinda suck, they've got internal turmoil, Luck may or may not be healthy, but their division is truly awful, so I expect them to be in the post-season), Jets (the D is really good, the special teams are solid, I still believe in the running game, weird to say but as long as Fitzpatrick is out there, they've got a shot in every game), Raiders (some buzz in Oaktown! The offense is real, they're in sneaking-up mode, AFC is pretty bad, they really have a legit shot at the playoffs).
Bottom of the middle: Dolphins (they can be good, 50/50 whether they'll show up), Bills (watched them a coupla times and when they're not setting records for penalties they're generally the better team; if they clean up their act they can still make the playoffs and be good, not really betting on that happening though), Steelers (still got a shot but Big Ben tries too hard and without Bell I think it'll be too much to overcome), Chiefs (not terrible, can still make some noise if they get it together).
Convinced they're out of the playoffs: Texans (actually they're tied for 1st in their division but, man, they've got problems all over the place), Chargers (everything is going wrong on that squad, everybody's hurt, the home crowd sucks, nothing but bad vibes), Ravens (old and creaky at every positions), Browns (when QB controversy is the best part of your season, things aren't good), Jags (would love to report that they're getting better but I'm still not seeing it), Titans (well they've got a QB but not much else).
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