Didn't get to see as much as I would've liked. I caught most of Djokovic taking out Federer in the semis and it was what you might expect. Just because Federer has whipped everybody in straight sets for as long as anyone can remember doesn't exactly mean that his matches aren't competitive. Quite the contrary! Tennis is a game of inches and the slightest advantage can look like an avalanche on the scorecard. Andy Roddick's best tennis has probably been straight set losses to Federer. For the first time in ages Federer didn't get those inches, the breaks didn't go his way and he went out early (yeah, great champions consider the semi-finals 'early'). Federer has always been vulnerable in tie-breaks and that's where Djokovic got him in the 2nd set. A breakthrough win for Djokovic, a good player in Federer's shadow for a while, he may be peaking at just the right time. I didn't see any of Tsonga's upset of Nadal in the semis nor of the final. Bet they were good. Djokovic over Tsonga in the final was not anyone's prediction.
I did see most of Sharapova over Ivanovic. Again, it wasn't a whipping, it was a close contest where Sharapova was able to exert her will when she needed it most. Good match by a good champ. Sharapova has won a Wimbledon, a US and an Aussie now. Can she take a French? Serena Williams has won all the majors but I believe she's the only one since Andre Agassi to win on all surfaces.
Thursday, February 7, 2008
Thursday, January 24, 2008
Australian Open update
Women's Final
Sharapova v. Ivanovic
I've seen a little of both of these ladies and they both looked strong. I'll take Sharapova.
Sharapova v. Ivanovic
I've seen a little of both of these ladies and they both looked strong. I'll take Sharapova.
Monday, January 14, 2008
NFL Quarterfinals
Packers 42-20. Seattle was up 14-0 in the first 5 minutes of the game and got smoked 42-6 from then on. I was only vaguely watching this game, just eyeballing it now and again to make sure that Green Bay was still piling on points. The Seahawks continue to be one of the most frustrating squads in all of sports: they occasionally look really good but just as often look inept and untalented. I still like that O line, those LB's, they’ve got an MVP RB, a QB that doesn't make mistakes, wideouts that have gotten over their dropsies and a really unique homefield advantage--why aren't they better? I picked the winner and the over but I missed on the dog.
Pats 31-20. The Jags got the end zone on their first 2 drives and sacked Brady on the Pats' very first play. Not much after that. I watched all of this game but I was pretty hammered by halftime so my perceptions are not interesting even to me. As I recall the Jags played well, it never felt like a blowout but they were 2nd best team on the field. I was right on the winner, the dog and the over.
Chargers 28-24. This was a strange game. Indy out-played them in every way, Peyton was unstoppable, the refs were homering all the way and the Chargers lost LT and Rivers in the first half. How did the Colts lose? I thought they'd win easily in an even contest but somehow with all the slants against them the Chargers made plays when they needed to and took advantage of every opportunity. An interesting performance, they'll need a lot more than that next week in Foxboro. Missed the winner and the fave but I got the over.
NYG 21-17. My prediction of the Cowboys pulling it out late was looking pretty good when the Cowboys got the ball on the 50 with 7 minutes to go. But Romo gave up a bad sack, had a bizarre grounding call and they ended up going back rather than forward. Romo's meltdown in the last 7 minutes was unfortunate, he made some brilliant plays early on but lost his head at the end and everyone else did too. (Where did TO disappear to in the 4th quarter?) It ended with a pick in the end zone but the game was over by then, the Cowboys offense sputtered coming down the stretch right when they needed to step up.
For my money the key play of the game was Crayton's drop with 1 minute left in the 3rd. The Cowboys were struggling to get out of their own end zone when Romo scrambles around and leaning backward against his own momentum in between two guys he hits Crayton dead on his palms perfectly in stride with miles of empty space ahead of him and he drops it. Man, that hurt. Instead of a big gain, something that might have put them in FG range, they punt, NYG drives and goes back on top. The 4th quarter is totally different if he catches that ball. Oh well, that possible future is now closed.
NY's touchdown drive at the end of the 1st half was huge, big momentum swing and Eli really planted his flag right there. And NYG owned the Cowboys on special teams, with many nice returns in the second half. Hard to imagine NYG winning at Lambeau so will a conference championship appearance be enough to earn Eli a little breathing room in the Big Apple media? I missed the winner and the over but I won with the dog.
Pats 31-20. The Jags got the end zone on their first 2 drives and sacked Brady on the Pats' very first play. Not much after that. I watched all of this game but I was pretty hammered by halftime so my perceptions are not interesting even to me. As I recall the Jags played well, it never felt like a blowout but they were 2nd best team on the field. I was right on the winner, the dog and the over.
Chargers 28-24. This was a strange game. Indy out-played them in every way, Peyton was unstoppable, the refs were homering all the way and the Chargers lost LT and Rivers in the first half. How did the Colts lose? I thought they'd win easily in an even contest but somehow with all the slants against them the Chargers made plays when they needed to and took advantage of every opportunity. An interesting performance, they'll need a lot more than that next week in Foxboro. Missed the winner and the fave but I got the over.
NYG 21-17. My prediction of the Cowboys pulling it out late was looking pretty good when the Cowboys got the ball on the 50 with 7 minutes to go. But Romo gave up a bad sack, had a bizarre grounding call and they ended up going back rather than forward. Romo's meltdown in the last 7 minutes was unfortunate, he made some brilliant plays early on but lost his head at the end and everyone else did too. (Where did TO disappear to in the 4th quarter?) It ended with a pick in the end zone but the game was over by then, the Cowboys offense sputtered coming down the stretch right when they needed to step up.
For my money the key play of the game was Crayton's drop with 1 minute left in the 3rd. The Cowboys were struggling to get out of their own end zone when Romo scrambles around and leaning backward against his own momentum in between two guys he hits Crayton dead on his palms perfectly in stride with miles of empty space ahead of him and he drops it. Man, that hurt. Instead of a big gain, something that might have put them in FG range, they punt, NYG drives and goes back on top. The 4th quarter is totally different if he catches that ball. Oh well, that possible future is now closed.
NY's touchdown drive at the end of the 1st half was huge, big momentum swing and Eli really planted his flag right there. And NYG owned the Cowboys on special teams, with many nice returns in the second half. Hard to imagine NYG winning at Lambeau so will a conference championship appearance be enough to earn Eli a little breathing room in the Big Apple media? I missed the winner and the over but I won with the dog.
Saturday, January 12, 2008
NFL Quarterfinals
1/12 4:30 PM
Seattle 43o
Green Bay -7.5
I'll take Packers 27-24. Seahawks and the over.
1/12 8:00 PM
Jacksonville 49.5o
New England -13
Pats 37-27. Jags and the over.
1/13 1:00 PM
San Diego 46o
Indianapolis -9
Colts 35-21. Colts and the over.
1/13 4:30 PM
New York 46.5o
Dallas -7.5
Cowboys 31-27. NYG and the over.
Seattle 43o
Green Bay -7.5
I'll take Packers 27-24. Seahawks and the over.
1/12 8:00 PM
Jacksonville 49.5o
New England -13
Pats 37-27. Jags and the over.
1/13 1:00 PM
San Diego 46o
Indianapolis -9
Colts 35-21. Colts and the over.
1/13 4:30 PM
New York 46.5o
Dallas -7.5
Cowboys 31-27. NYG and the over.
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
BCS Champ Loses to Kentucky!
Yes, I know that headline doesn't play anywhere but here. But here is where I am and I doubt (I didn't bother to check) that UK has ever beaten a national champion in football so I went in that direction to kick off my post-championship analysis.
I was surprised that LSU was able to move the ball so easily against the Buckeye D. I thought LSU's weakness was at the QB spot and Ohio State would be ready for a steady diet of Hester between the tackles and Doucet to the outside, but they seemed back on their heels for the entire first half. I was also surprised at the way LSU corners dominated the Buckeye wideouts--OSU had nothing there all night long. They were stuck with the middle of the field and that gave that big Tiger D line all they needed to plug the running lanes. The roughing the punter penalty really killed the Buckeyes: instead of stopping LSU cold on their first drive of the second half, they were able to eat up more time of possession and stick another 7 on the board. That hurt bad. What would've been a momentum booster became a deflator instead. The Buckeye D was much more effective in the second half but that opening drive was too much to overcome since the Buckeyes had no big play ability.
My prediction incidentally was something like (I've forgotten which file its in) Ohio State 28-20. I thought it would be LSU that would get a quick lead and then fade as the Buckeye D re-grouped and the offense found a few holes in the Tiger secondary. There were no holes to be found and Broeckman just ain't the guy to find them. He held the ball too long too many times. This was due to the coverage, not his fault, but the ball is in his hands and he's the one that's got to deal with the action--dude, even on 4th down you've got to get rid of it.
This was the strangest year of college football I've ever witnessed. I was visiting a friend the night Ohio State lost to Illinois and the commentators were saying that the Buckeyes were now clearly out of the championship picture. My friend, a sporting novice, asked why they were saying that and I replied, 'I don't know. I don't think they are out because there's a lot of losing left.' I don't think that at that moment I particularly thought that Ohio State would actually get back to the top of the rankings but I can't say I was too surprised. Everybody lost this year. Everybody. Even the teams that never lose, they lost too. It wasn't that long ago that Kansas-West Virginia seemed like the championship match-up. As disappointing as that would've been to a lot of people (re: the grumpy national media that can't see beyond big stars and traditional powers), it would've been more representative of what this year was really like rather than the match we got. But it didn't happen because Kansas just couldn't keep it together against a feisty Missouri squad (Missouri played Championship spoiler--see what I'm saying?) and West Virginia had one of the worst choke performances I've ever witnessed--and I'm a Buffalo Bills fan! Everybody lost this year, even the underdogs.
Everybody had their chances--even Kentucky!--so you can't feel sorry for anyone except for 1 team: Oregon. If Dixon doesn't get hurt, he wins the Heisman and they probably end up facing Ohio State instead of 2-loss LSU. They limped into the bowl season and acquitted themselves nicely by pummeling upstart South Florida but they were one injury away from getting some glory.
This season reminded me of the 2002 World Cup. There were a lot of early exits by the major players that year: Argentina, France, Portugal all got bounced in group play. And they were replaced by wacky non-traditional squads like USA, Mexico, Turkey, South Korea, Senegal and Sweden. It was exciting to see the crazy upsets but in the end who played in the final? Brazil and Germany, which even soccer hating Americans know are the 2 top powers in the 'football' world. In the really crazy years I guess it's even more likely that the old schools finagle their way in to the big game.
One last snarky comment about this season: Tim Tebow did not deserve the Heisman. Don't get me wrong, he's the best player in college football and I have no doubt if he stays for 4 years he will go down as one of the all-time great college QB's. And may well win 3 straight Heismans! I'm sure his staggering stats looked great when you're sitting in an air-conditioned office in New York but down south we know he ran it up on Vanderbilt, Kentucky and South Carolina and got clobbered by Auburn, Georgia and LSU. How the hell you gonna give the Heisman to a QB with 3 losses? Yeah, his numbers were great but so were Colt Brennan's and he went undefeated! I know he got smooshed like a grape in his bowl game--uh, so did Tebow--but Brennan's the one that dragged Hawaii into a game they didn't deserve to be in and that's actually a pretty impressive feat in a world where that spot is usually reserved for Notre Dame.
So another tough loss for Buckeye fans. But don't worry, you've got a great shot at getting back next year! My pre-season top 3: Florida, USC, Ohio State as we get back to more predictability in the college gridiron game. I'll take Southern Cal over Florida in the Championship with Tebow winning back-to-back Heismans.
I was surprised that LSU was able to move the ball so easily against the Buckeye D. I thought LSU's weakness was at the QB spot and Ohio State would be ready for a steady diet of Hester between the tackles and Doucet to the outside, but they seemed back on their heels for the entire first half. I was also surprised at the way LSU corners dominated the Buckeye wideouts--OSU had nothing there all night long. They were stuck with the middle of the field and that gave that big Tiger D line all they needed to plug the running lanes. The roughing the punter penalty really killed the Buckeyes: instead of stopping LSU cold on their first drive of the second half, they were able to eat up more time of possession and stick another 7 on the board. That hurt bad. What would've been a momentum booster became a deflator instead. The Buckeye D was much more effective in the second half but that opening drive was too much to overcome since the Buckeyes had no big play ability.
My prediction incidentally was something like (I've forgotten which file its in) Ohio State 28-20. I thought it would be LSU that would get a quick lead and then fade as the Buckeye D re-grouped and the offense found a few holes in the Tiger secondary. There were no holes to be found and Broeckman just ain't the guy to find them. He held the ball too long too many times. This was due to the coverage, not his fault, but the ball is in his hands and he's the one that's got to deal with the action--dude, even on 4th down you've got to get rid of it.
This was the strangest year of college football I've ever witnessed. I was visiting a friend the night Ohio State lost to Illinois and the commentators were saying that the Buckeyes were now clearly out of the championship picture. My friend, a sporting novice, asked why they were saying that and I replied, 'I don't know. I don't think they are out because there's a lot of losing left.' I don't think that at that moment I particularly thought that Ohio State would actually get back to the top of the rankings but I can't say I was too surprised. Everybody lost this year. Everybody. Even the teams that never lose, they lost too. It wasn't that long ago that Kansas-West Virginia seemed like the championship match-up. As disappointing as that would've been to a lot of people (re: the grumpy national media that can't see beyond big stars and traditional powers), it would've been more representative of what this year was really like rather than the match we got. But it didn't happen because Kansas just couldn't keep it together against a feisty Missouri squad (Missouri played Championship spoiler--see what I'm saying?) and West Virginia had one of the worst choke performances I've ever witnessed--and I'm a Buffalo Bills fan! Everybody lost this year, even the underdogs.
Everybody had their chances--even Kentucky!--so you can't feel sorry for anyone except for 1 team: Oregon. If Dixon doesn't get hurt, he wins the Heisman and they probably end up facing Ohio State instead of 2-loss LSU. They limped into the bowl season and acquitted themselves nicely by pummeling upstart South Florida but they were one injury away from getting some glory.
This season reminded me of the 2002 World Cup. There were a lot of early exits by the major players that year: Argentina, France, Portugal all got bounced in group play. And they were replaced by wacky non-traditional squads like USA, Mexico, Turkey, South Korea, Senegal and Sweden. It was exciting to see the crazy upsets but in the end who played in the final? Brazil and Germany, which even soccer hating Americans know are the 2 top powers in the 'football' world. In the really crazy years I guess it's even more likely that the old schools finagle their way in to the big game.
One last snarky comment about this season: Tim Tebow did not deserve the Heisman. Don't get me wrong, he's the best player in college football and I have no doubt if he stays for 4 years he will go down as one of the all-time great college QB's. And may well win 3 straight Heismans! I'm sure his staggering stats looked great when you're sitting in an air-conditioned office in New York but down south we know he ran it up on Vanderbilt, Kentucky and South Carolina and got clobbered by Auburn, Georgia and LSU. How the hell you gonna give the Heisman to a QB with 3 losses? Yeah, his numbers were great but so were Colt Brennan's and he went undefeated! I know he got smooshed like a grape in his bowl game--uh, so did Tebow--but Brennan's the one that dragged Hawaii into a game they didn't deserve to be in and that's actually a pretty impressive feat in a world where that spot is usually reserved for Notre Dame.
So another tough loss for Buckeye fans. But don't worry, you've got a great shot at getting back next year! My pre-season top 3: Florida, USC, Ohio State as we get back to more predictability in the college gridiron game. I'll take Southern Cal over Florida in the Championship with Tebow winning back-to-back Heismans.
Wednesday, December 12, 2007
Petrino splits--like this is new?
Again the hand-wringing phoney baloney moralizing from the sports talk gets my goat. Bobby Petrino, after a warm vote of confidence from owner Arthur Blank on Monday, quit the Falcons on Tuesday to become the coach of Arkansas. Colin Cowherd raged about too much money in sports, the necessity of integrity in a college coach and compared Petrino to Stave Saban, who more or less did the same thing last year jumping from the Dolphins to Alabama. His guest today was Bob Griese, who waxed rhapsodically about that paragon of integrity, Don Shula. But I found myself thinking, wait a minute, didn't Shula ditch the Colts for the Dolphins. This is from Shula's Wikipedia entry:
After the 1969 season, Joe Robbie, owner of the Miami Dolphins, signed Shula to a contract to become Miami's second head coach. As a result of Shula's signing the team was charged with tampering by the NFL, which forced the Dolphins to give their first round pick to the Colts. The decision was controversial because Shula and Robbie's negotiations and signing were conducted before and after the official NFL/AFL merger, respectively. Had the negotiations been concluded before the merger, while the NFL and AFL were rivals, the NFL's anti-tampering rules could not have been applied.
Actually Shula got the Colts job because Weeb Eubank bolted for the Jets gig in 1963. Are you still convinced Steve Saban invented this? Or was it Rick Pitino? Or Larry Brown?
Yeah, Petrino's a dick and so is Saban and all the rest. But holding up as a model the guy who was the test case for NFL's anti-tampering rules strikes me as disinegenous to say the least. More to the point, when Saban and Petrino have big wins in their new programs we'll forget all about where they came from.
It is our right to sit around and throw mud at those that are able to take advantage of the system we've created but if we really hate it so much why don't we change the system? Or, better still, let's just get used to the fact that this is how it works and always has.
After the 1969 season, Joe Robbie, owner of the Miami Dolphins, signed Shula to a contract to become Miami's second head coach. As a result of Shula's signing the team was charged with tampering by the NFL, which forced the Dolphins to give their first round pick to the Colts. The decision was controversial because Shula and Robbie's negotiations and signing were conducted before and after the official NFL/AFL merger, respectively. Had the negotiations been concluded before the merger, while the NFL and AFL were rivals, the NFL's anti-tampering rules could not have been applied.
Actually Shula got the Colts job because Weeb Eubank bolted for the Jets gig in 1963. Are you still convinced Steve Saban invented this? Or was it Rick Pitino? Or Larry Brown?
Yeah, Petrino's a dick and so is Saban and all the rest. But holding up as a model the guy who was the test case for NFL's anti-tampering rules strikes me as disinegenous to say the least. More to the point, when Saban and Petrino have big wins in their new programs we'll forget all about where they came from.
It is our right to sit around and throw mud at those that are able to take advantage of the system we've created but if we really hate it so much why don't we change the system? Or, better still, let's just get used to the fact that this is how it works and always has.
Sunday, December 2, 2007
NFL Week 13
DALLAS 7.0 Green Bay
MIAMI 1.0 New York (NYJ)
MINNESOTA 3.5 Detroit
PHILADELPHIA 3.0 Seattle
TENNESSEE 4.0 Houston
INDIANAPOLIS 6.5 Jacksonville
WASHINGTON 5.5 Buffalo
San Diego 5.5 KANSAS CITY
CAROLINA 3.0 San Francisco
ST. LOUIS Off (0) Atlanta
ARIZONA 0.0 Cleveland
Denver 3.5 OAKLAND
NEW ORLEANS 3.0 Tampa Bay
New York (NYG) 1.5 CHICAGO
PITTSBURGH 7.0 Cincinnati
New England 20.5 BALTIMORE
I liked the Packers to keep it close and they almost did. The Cowboys offense is not quite Patriot-like but they're closer than the Colts, Packers or Steelers at this point. I thought Favre tried to do too much, tried to hit home runs instead of sticking to the singles and doubles strategy that Aaron Rodgers was able to score some points with. Dallas seemed like the better team maybe not the difference between Dallas and Green Bay is not 10 points great. (Maybe Rodgers will have his Brady-moment this year: supplanting the veteran, getting on a roll and knocking off the undisputed champs. Nice screenplay, no?)
I like the Dolphins. They're not that much was than NYJ and I liked their new QB Beck against the Steelers.
I think I like the Lions to make one last push toward the playoffs. I don't think they'll get there but they should edge past the Vikings.
I like the Seahawks to finish strong as well. They might get scary come playoff time.
I'm not a big fan of what the Texans are doing but the Titans are flailing right now. I can see the Titans pulling it out late but I'll take those points. I like the Texans.
The Colts need to ramp up their offense and I think a familiar opponent, tough as the Jags are, are just what the Colts need to rev it up to the end of the season.
How does the Sean Taylor factor work itself out: will the Skins be extra-motivated or distracted? Will the Bills smell blood or will they let up a little? I like the Redskins to come out focused and energized and they'll pound on the struggling Bills.
The Chargers have had games where they came out and played hard and others where they looked like they'd rather be somewhere else. I just got a feeling that this will be one of those former games, look for the Chargers to win big.
The Panthers are one of those flailing teams that need to take advantage of every weaker opponent they can find. The Niners are weaker but they won't just roll over and give it away. I think the Panthers can take it.
Even without Bulger I think the Rams are a better team than Atlanta. If they get something rolling, they'll roll all day.
The Cards and the Browns are similarly up and coming teams with exciting offenses and not bad defenses. It's an even-up game, I'll take the home team.
The Broncos seems to be getting back together but I think the Raiders can take them at home. I'll take the Raiders to be within an FG.
The Saints have more talent than Tampa Bay but the Bucs are a playoff team right now and the Saints aren't. Can the Saints take that position from them? I don't think so. I think the Bucs keep them in check.
The Giants are struggling, the Bears have been disappointing, which makes them pretty much even. I'll take the Bears to pull it out late over NYG.
The Steelers will run the Bengals out of the building.
The Ravens just cannot keep up with the Pats. The Ravens D will have their moments (I can see a pick 6 coming), but the offense just will not move the ball on a Belicheck defense. I hate those gaudy odds but I'll take the Pats.
MIAMI 1.0 New York (NYJ)
MINNESOTA 3.5 Detroit
PHILADELPHIA 3.0 Seattle
TENNESSEE 4.0 Houston
INDIANAPOLIS 6.5 Jacksonville
WASHINGTON 5.5 Buffalo
San Diego 5.5 KANSAS CITY
CAROLINA 3.0 San Francisco
ST. LOUIS Off (0) Atlanta
ARIZONA 0.0 Cleveland
Denver 3.5 OAKLAND
NEW ORLEANS 3.0 Tampa Bay
New York (NYG) 1.5 CHICAGO
PITTSBURGH 7.0 Cincinnati
New England 20.5 BALTIMORE
I liked the Packers to keep it close and they almost did. The Cowboys offense is not quite Patriot-like but they're closer than the Colts, Packers or Steelers at this point. I thought Favre tried to do too much, tried to hit home runs instead of sticking to the singles and doubles strategy that Aaron Rodgers was able to score some points with. Dallas seemed like the better team maybe not the difference between Dallas and Green Bay is not 10 points great. (Maybe Rodgers will have his Brady-moment this year: supplanting the veteran, getting on a roll and knocking off the undisputed champs. Nice screenplay, no?)
I like the Dolphins. They're not that much was than NYJ and I liked their new QB Beck against the Steelers.
I think I like the Lions to make one last push toward the playoffs. I don't think they'll get there but they should edge past the Vikings.
I like the Seahawks to finish strong as well. They might get scary come playoff time.
I'm not a big fan of what the Texans are doing but the Titans are flailing right now. I can see the Titans pulling it out late but I'll take those points. I like the Texans.
The Colts need to ramp up their offense and I think a familiar opponent, tough as the Jags are, are just what the Colts need to rev it up to the end of the season.
How does the Sean Taylor factor work itself out: will the Skins be extra-motivated or distracted? Will the Bills smell blood or will they let up a little? I like the Redskins to come out focused and energized and they'll pound on the struggling Bills.
The Chargers have had games where they came out and played hard and others where they looked like they'd rather be somewhere else. I just got a feeling that this will be one of those former games, look for the Chargers to win big.
The Panthers are one of those flailing teams that need to take advantage of every weaker opponent they can find. The Niners are weaker but they won't just roll over and give it away. I think the Panthers can take it.
Even without Bulger I think the Rams are a better team than Atlanta. If they get something rolling, they'll roll all day.
The Cards and the Browns are similarly up and coming teams with exciting offenses and not bad defenses. It's an even-up game, I'll take the home team.
The Broncos seems to be getting back together but I think the Raiders can take them at home. I'll take the Raiders to be within an FG.
The Saints have more talent than Tampa Bay but the Bucs are a playoff team right now and the Saints aren't. Can the Saints take that position from them? I don't think so. I think the Bucs keep them in check.
The Giants are struggling, the Bears have been disappointing, which makes them pretty much even. I'll take the Bears to pull it out late over NYG.
The Steelers will run the Bengals out of the building.
The Ravens just cannot keep up with the Pats. The Ravens D will have their moments (I can see a pick 6 coming), but the offense just will not move the ball on a Belicheck defense. I hate those gaudy odds but I'll take the Pats.
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